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NFLGame lineTotal
San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons: over 51.5
Won6 of 15last 15 games · 40%
Best price+119Kalshi
Price needs45.7%wins to break even
Every game8 of 25this season and last
Trend score-24.9Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 46% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 46% to break even | 14%–73% | 6 points shortwon 40%, needs 46% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 46% to break even | 13%–56% | 16 points shortwon 30%, needs 46% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 46% to break even | 22%–61% | 6 points shortwon 40%, needs 46% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 46% to break even | 12%–65% | 12 points shortwon 33%, needs 46% |
| Last season | 6 of 1932%needs 46% to break even | 17%–50% | 14 points shortwon 32%, needs 46% |
| Every game | 8 of 2532%needs 46% to break even | 19%–48% | 14 points shortwon 32%, needs 46% |
Games like tonight
Tonight SF plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons: over 51.51 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total points in each game against over 51.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 51.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 19 |  WSH | 40 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 |  SEA | 61 | +9.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 |  DEN | 38 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 |  ARI | 66 | +14.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  MIA | 48 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 10 |  LAR | 34 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 17 | SEA | 47 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 11 |  PHI | 42 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Jan 3 | SEA | 16 | -35.5 | Lost |
| Dec 28 |  CHI | 80 | +28.5 | Won |
| Dec 22 |  IND | 75 | +23.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 |  TEN | 61 | +9.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 |  CLE | 34 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Nov 24 |  CAR | 29 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | ARI | 63 | +11.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | LAR | 68 | +16.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 |  NYG | 58 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 |  HOU | 41 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Oct 19 |  ATL | 30 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 |  TB | 49 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 2 | LAR | 49 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 |  JAX | 47 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | ARI | 31 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 |  NO | 47 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 7 | SEA | 30 | -21.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on San Francisco 49ers in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.