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NFLGame lineSpread
SF -2.5 (spread)
Won6 of 6this season · 100%
Best price-119Polymarket
Price needs54.3%wins to break even
Every game18 of 25this season and last
Trend score3.7Good
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 54% to break even | 65%–100% | 46 points betterwon 100%, needs 54% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 54% to break even | 54%–93% | 26 points betterwon 80%, needs 54% |
| Last 15 games | 13 of 1587%needs 54% to break even | 67%–95% | 32 points betterwon 87%, needs 54% |
| This season | 6 of 6100%needs 54% to break even | 69%–100% | 46 points betterwon 100%, needs 54% |
| Last season | 12 of 1963%needs 54% to break even | 44%–79% | 9 points betterwon 63%, needs 54% |
| Every game | 18 of 2572%needs 54% to break even | 56%–84% | 18 points betterwon 72%, needs 54% |
Games like tonight
Tonight SF plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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SF -2.5 (spread)2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against sf -2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 19 |  WSH | 6 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 |  SEA | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 |  DEN | 10 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 |  ARI | 6 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  MIA | 22 | +19.5 | Won |
| Sep 10 |  LAR | 20 | +17.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 17 | SEA | -35 | -37.5 | Lost |
| Jan 11 |  PHI | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 3 | SEA | -10 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Dec 28 |  CHI | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 22 |  IND | 21 | +18.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 |  TEN | 13 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 |  CLE | 18 | +15.5 | Won |
| Nov 24 |  CAR | 11 | +8.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 | ARI | 19 | +16.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | LAR | -16 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 |  NYG | 10 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 |  HOU | -11 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Oct 19 |  ATL | 10 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 12 |  TB | -11 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Oct 2 | LAR | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 |  JAX | -5 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | ARI | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 |  NO | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 | SEA | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on San Francisco 49ers in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.