This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 4100%needs 49% to break even | 60%–100% | 51 points betterwon 100%, needs 49% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 978%needs 49% to break even | 50%–92% | 29 points betterwon 78%, needs 49% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1486%needs 49% to break even | 65%–95% | 37 points betterwon 86%, needs 49% |
| This season | 5 of 5100%needs 49% to break even | 65%–100% | 51 points betterwon 100%, needs 49% |
| Last season | 11 of 1861%needs 49% to break even | 42%–77% | 12 points betterwon 61%, needs 49% |
| Every game | 16 of 2370%needs 49% to break even | 52%–83% | 21 points betterwon 70%, needs 49% |
Tonight SF plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against sf -3, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 3 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 19 | 6 | +3 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Oct 4 | 10 | +7 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 6 | +3 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 22 | +19 | Won | |
| Sep 10 | 20 | +17 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 17 | -35 | -38 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | -10 | -13 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 21 | +18 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 13 | +10 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 18 | +15 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 11 | +8 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 19 | +16 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | -16 | -19 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 10 | +7 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | -11 | -14 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | 10 | +7 | Won | |
| Oct 12 | -11 | -14 | Lost | |
| Oct 2 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 28 | -5 | -8 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 5 | +2 | Won | |
| Sep 7 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.