This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 53% to break even | 44%–95% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 53% to break even | 35%–81% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 53% to break even | 52%–87% | 21 points betterwon 73%, needs 53% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 53% to break even | 50%–96% | 31 points betterwon 83%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 11 of 1958%needs 53% to break even | 39%–74% | 5 points betterwon 58%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 16 of 2564%needs 53% to break even | 48%–78% | 11 points betterwon 64%, needs 53% |
Tonight SF plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H margin in each game against sf 1h -0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H margin | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 19 | 17 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 8 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 11 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 8 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Sep 10 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 17 | -18 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | -7 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 15 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | -14 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 10 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | -9 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 12 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 2 | 10 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Sep 28 | -11 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | 9 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Sep 7 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.