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NFLPlayer propPassing yards
Brock Purdy under 238.5 passing yards
Won8 of 15last 15 games · 53%
Best price-114BetRivers
Price needs53.3%wins to break even
Every game8 of 17this season and last
Trend score-22.1Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 53% to break even | 14%–73% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 53% to break even | 27%–73% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 53% to break even | 33%–72% | evenwon 53%, needs 53% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 53% to break even | 22%–78% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 5 of 1145%needs 53% to break even | 24%–68% | 8 points shortwon 45%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 8 of 1747%needs 53% to break even | 29%–66% | 6 points shortwon 47%, needs 53% |
Games like tonight
Tonight SF plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Brock Purdy under 238.5 passing yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Passing yards in each game against under 238.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Passing yards | Beat 238.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  WSH | 264 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  SEA | 189 | +49.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  DEN | 218 | +20.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  ARI | 297 | -58.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  MIA | 287 | -48.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  LAR | 205 | +33.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 20 | SEA | 140 | +98.5 | Won |
| Wk 19 |  PHI | 262 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Wk 18 | SEA | 127 | +111.5 | Won |
| Wk 17 |  CHI | 303 | -64.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 |  IND | 295 | -56.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 |  TEN | 295 | -56.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 |  CLE | 168 | +70.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 |  CAR | 193 | +45.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | ARI | 200 | +38.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  JAX | 309 | -70.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | SEA | 277 | -38.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 224.5 passing yardsBrock Purdy · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Samuel (WR) |  -168at Kalshi | 6 of 11· last season55%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 238.5 passing yardsBrock Purdy · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Samuel (WR) |  -115at BetRivers | 6 of 11· last season55%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 240.5 passing yardsBrock Purdy · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Samuel (WR) |  -114at FanDuel | 6 of 11· last season55%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 242.5 passing yardsBrock Purdy · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Samuel (WR) |  -111at DraftKings | 6 of 11· last season55%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 244.5 passing yardsBrock Purdy · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Samuel (WR) |  -115at BetMGM | 6 of 11· last season55%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 249.5 passing yardsBrock Purdy · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Samuel (WR) | +105at Kalshi | 6 of 11· last season55%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 274.5 passing yardsBrock Purdy · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Samuel (WR) | +189at Kalshi | 5 of 11· last season45%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Brock Purdy in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.