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NFLPlayer propReceiving yards
Tyjae Spears under 11.5 receiving yards
Won6 of 10last 10 games · 60%
Best price-110BetMGM
Price needs52.4%wins to break even
Every game7 of 19this season and last
Trend score-22.7Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 52% to break even | 27%–86% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% | 12.6receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 52% to break even | 35%–81% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% | 13.8receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 52% to break even | 22%–61% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% | 18.6receiving yards |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 52% to break even | 22%–78% | 2 points shortwon 50%, needs 52% | 12.5receiving yards |
| Last season | 4 of 1331%needs 52% to break even | 15%–54% | 22 points shortwon 31%, needs 52% | 20.3receiving yards |
| Every game | 7 of 1937%needs 52% to break even | 21%–56% | 16 points shortwon 37%, needs 52% | 17.8receiving yards |
Games like tonight
Tonight TEN plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against CLE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 1 of 10 at home. Tonight: CLE allows 17.8 receiving yards a game to running backs, the 3rd fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 31.3): an easy matchup for this bet. How CLE defends running backs
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Tyjae Spears under 11.5 receiving yards2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receiving yards in each game against under 11.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 11.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  IND | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  HOU | 28 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  BAL | -1 | +12.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  NYG | 0 | +11.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  PHI | 29 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  NYJ | 12 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 |  JAX | 9 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 17 |  NO | -1 | +12.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 |  KC | 53 | -41.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 |  SF | 2 | +9.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 |  CLE | 28 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | JAX | 25 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 |  SEA | 21 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | HOU | 31 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 |  LAC | 36 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 | IND | 23 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 |  NE | 18 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 |  LV | 19 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  ARI | 0 | +11.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 9.5 receiving yardsTyjae Spears · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable |  -148at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 60% to break even9 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -23.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 11.5 receiving yardsTyjae Spears · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable |  -114at FanDuel | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 53% to break even9 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -18.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 12.5 receiving yardsTyjae Spears · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable |  -107at DraftKings | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 52% to break even8 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -20.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 14.5 receiving yardsTyjae Spears · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | +126at FanDuel | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 44% to break even8 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -15.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 19.5 receiving yardsTyjae Spears · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | +210at FanDuel | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 32% to break even7 of 10 at home | -8.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 22.5 receiving yardsTyjae Spears · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable |  +139at BetOnline | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 42% to break even6 of 10 at home | -18.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Tyjae Spears in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 receptionsTyjae Spears · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | +287at DraftKings | 6 of 13· last season46%needs 26% to break even5 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -8.6Not beating its price | |
| Scores a TDTyjae Spears · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable |  +650at Fanatics | 2 of 13· last season15%needs 13% to break even1 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -8.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 23.5 rush + rec yardsTyjae Spears · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -110at FanDuel | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 52% to break even9 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -10.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 14.5 rushing yardsTyjae Spears · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | +200at FanDuel | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 33% to break even4 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -10.9Not beating its price | |
| Under 1.5 receptionsTyjae Spears · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | +181at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 36% to break even1 of 10 at home | -15.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 17.5 rushing yardsTyjae Spears · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | +147at BetOnline | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 40% to break even4 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -16.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 2.5 receptionsTyjae Spears · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -136at FanDuel | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 58% to break even3 of 10 at home | Record is this season's | -17.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 24.5 rush + rec yardsTyjae Spears · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -115at DraftKings | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 53% to break even7 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -17.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 9.5 rushing yardsTyjae Spears · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | +109at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 48% to break even5 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -17.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 9.5 rushing yardsTyjae Spears · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable |  -110at BetMGM | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 52% to break even5 of 10 at home | -18.4Not beating its price | ||
| Under 8.5 rushing yardsTyjae Spears · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -114at FanDuel | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even5 of 10 at home | -19.1Not beating its price | ||
| Under 7.5 rushing yardsTyjae Spears · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -115at BetOnline | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even5 of 10 at home | -19.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.