This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 59% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 59% to break even | 44%–95% | 21 points betterwon 80%, needs 59% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 59% to break even | 44%–87% | 11 points betterwon 70%, needs 59% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 59% to break even | 33%–72% | 5 points shortwon 53%, needs 59% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 59% to break even | 50%–96% | 25 points betterwon 83%, needs 59% |
| Last season | 4 of 1331%needs 59% to break even | 15%–54% | 28 points shortwon 31%, needs 59% |
Tonight TEN plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against CLE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receptions in each game against under 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receptions | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 receptionsTyjae Spears · |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 29.5 rush + rec yardsTyjae Spears |
| Every game |
| 9 of 1947%needs 59% to break even |
| 30%–65% |
| 11 points shortwon 47%, needs 59% |
| 9 |
| -6.5 |
| Lost |
| Wk 4 | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 7 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| +109at Kalshi |
| 9 of 13· last season69%needs 48% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -21.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -161at Kalshi |
| 5 of 6· this season83%needs 62% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -18.6Not beating its price |
| Over 29.5 rush + rec yardsTyjae Spears · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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