This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 52% to break even | 14%–73% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 52% to break even | 27%–73% | 2 points shortwon 50%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 52% to break even | 33%–72% | 1 points betterwon 53%, needs 52% |
| This season | 2 of 540%needs 52% to break even | 14%–73% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 11 of 1573%needs 52% to break even | 52%–87% | 21 points betterwon 73%, needs 52% |
| Every game | 13 of 2065%needs 52% to break even | 47%–80% | 13 points betterwon 65%, needs 52% |
Tonight CIN plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against BAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against under 63.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 63.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 5 | 22 | +41.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 157 | -93.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 90 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 95 | -31.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 59 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 67 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 59 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Wk 16 | 53 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Wk 14 | 92 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 12 | 31 | +32.5 | Won | |
| Wk 11 | 63 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 9 | 121 | -57.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 8 | 44 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Wk 7 | 96 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 6 | 62 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 22 | +41.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 32 | +31.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 15 | +48.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 56 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 33 | +30.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 62.5 receiving yardsTee Higgins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 53% to break even | -22.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 63.5 receiving yardsTee Higgins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -114at DraftKings | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 53% to break even | -24.5Not beating its price | ||
| Over 65.5 receiving yardsTee Higgins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 53% to break even | -24.5Not beating its price | ||
| Over 66.5 receiving yardsTee Higgins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -113at BetRivers | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 53% to break even | -24.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores a TDTee Higgins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last season60%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 4.5 receptionsTee Higgins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +117at DraftKings | 9 of 15· last season60%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 5.5 receptionsTee Higgins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 41% to break even | -18.9Not beating its price | ||
| Under 5.5 receptionsTee Higgins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -188at FanDuel | 11 of 15· last season73%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 4.5 receptionsTee Higgins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 57% to break even | -20.8Not beating its price | ||
| Doesn't score a TDTee Higgins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 65% to break even | -27.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.