This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 53% to break even | 27%–86% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 53% to break even | 27%–73% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 53% to break even | 28%–67% | 7 points shortwon 47%, needs 53% |
| This season | 3 of 560%needs 53% to break even | 27%–86% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 4 of 1527%needs 53% to break even | 13%–48% | 27 points shortwon 27%, needs 53% |
| Every game |
Tonight CIN plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against BAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 63.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 63.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 5 | 22 | -41.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 62.5 receiving yardsTee Higgins |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores a TDTee Higgins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
| 20%–53% |
| 18 points shortwon 35%, needs 53% |
| 157 |
| +93.5 |
| Won |
| Wk 3 | 90 | +26.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 95 | +31.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 59 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 67 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 59 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | 53 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 | 92 | +28.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 | 31 | -32.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | 63 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | 121 | +57.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 | 44 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | 96 | +32.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 | 62 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 | 22 | -41.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 32 | -31.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 15 | -48.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 56 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 33 | -30.5 | Lost |
| -115at BetMGM |
| 10 of 15· last season67%needs 53% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -18.4Not beating its price |
| Under 63.5 receiving yardsTee Higgins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -110at DraftKings | 11 of 15· last season73%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.7Not beating its price |
| Under 65.5 receiving yardsTee Higgins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 11 of 15· last season73%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.4Not beating its price |
| Under 66.5 receiving yardsTee Higgins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -118at BetRivers | 11 of 15· last season73%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +152at Kalshi |
| 9 of 15· last season60%needs 40% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -10.7Not beating its price |
| Under 4.5 receptionsTee Higgins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +117at DraftKings | 9 of 15· last season60%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.6Not beating its price |
| Over 5.5 receptionsTee Higgins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 41% to break even | -18.9Not beating its price |
| Under 5.5 receptionsTee Higgins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -188at FanDuel | 11 of 15· last season73%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.2Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 receptionsTee Higgins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 57% to break even | -20.8Not beating its price |
| Doesn't score a TDTee Higgins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 65% to break even | -27.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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