This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 53% to break even | 27%–86% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 53% to break even | 27%–73% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 53% to break even | 33%–72% | evenwon 53%, needs 53% |
| This season | 3 of 560%needs 53% to break even | 27%–86% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 5 of 1533%needs 53% to break even | 17%–54% | 20 points shortwon 33%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 8 of 2040%needs 53% to break even | 24%–58% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% |
Tonight CIN plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against BAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 62.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 62.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 5 | 22 | -40.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 157 | +94.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 90 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 95 | +32.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 59 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 67 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 59 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 16 | 53 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 14 | 92 | +29.5 | Won | |
| Wk 12 | 31 | -31.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 11 | 63 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 9 | 121 | +58.5 | Won | |
| Wk 8 | 44 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 7 | 96 | +33.5 | Won | |
| Wk 6 | 62 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 22 | -40.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 32 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 15 | -47.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 56 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 33 | -29.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 59.5 receiving yardsTee Higgins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last season60%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.8Not beating its price | |
| Under 62.5 receiving yardsTee Higgins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 10 of 15· last season67%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 63.5 receiving yardsTee Higgins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -110at DraftKings | 11 of 15· last season73%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 65.5 receiving yardsTee Higgins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 11 of 15· last season73%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 66.5 receiving yardsTee Higgins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -118at BetRivers | 11 of 15· last season73%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores a TDTee Higgins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last season60%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.8Not beating its price | |
| Under 4.5 receptionsTee Higgins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +117at DraftKings | 9 of 15· last season60%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 5.5 receptionsTee Higgins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +140at FanDuel | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 42% to break even | -19.7Not beating its price | ||
| Under 5.5 receptionsTee Higgins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -188at FanDuel | 11 of 15· last season73%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 4.5 receptionsTee Higgins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 57% to break even | -20.8Not beating its price | ||
| Doesn't score a TDTee Higgins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 66% to break even | -27.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.