This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 35% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 35% to break even | 5%–56% | 15 points shortwon 20%, needs 35% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 35% to break even | 13%–56% | 5 points shortwon 30%, needs 35% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 35% to break even | 13%–48% | 8 points shortwon 27%, needs 35% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 35% to break even | 4%–50% | 18 points shortwon 17%, needs 35% |
| Last season | 7 of 1741%needs 35% to break even | 24%–61% | 7 points betterwon 41%, needs 35% |
| Every game | 8 of 2335%needs 35% to break even | 21%–52% | evenwon 35%, needs 35% |
Tonight NO plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against PIT. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1Q total points in each game against under 6.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1Q total points | Beat 6.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 1st quarter totalNew Orleans Saints · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 9.5 1st half team totalNew Orleans Saints · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET |
| 7 |
| -0.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 11 | 3 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 | 14 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 9 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 | 14 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | 3 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | 10 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | 0 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 | 3 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 12 | 20 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 | 10 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 | 21 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | 21 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 | 3 | +3.5 | Won |
| 6 of 17· last season35%needs 52% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -31.6Not beating its price |
| Over 10.5 1st quarter totalNew Orleans Saints · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | +193at Polymarket | 4 of 17· last season24%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 48% to break even |
| -7.4Not beating its price |
| NO -2.5 2nd half spreadNew Orleans Saints · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | +152at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 40% to break even | -9.0Not beating its price |
| NO +1.5 3rd quarter spreadNew Orleans Saints · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | -168at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 63% to break even | -10.1Not beating its price |
| NO +2.5 3rd quarter spreadNew Orleans Saints · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | -168at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 63% to break even | -10.1Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 1st half totalNew Orleans Saints · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | +105at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 49% to break even | -11.3Not beating its price |
| Under 17.5 1st half totalNew Orleans Saints · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | +181at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 36% to break even | -11.9Not beating its price |
| Over 50.5 game total, NO gamesNew Orleans Saints · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | +181at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 36% to break even | Record is this season's | -12.1Not beating its price |
| Under 38.5 game total, NO gamesNew Orleans Saints · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | +202at Polymarket | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.3Not beating its price |
| Under 41.5 game total, NO gamesNew Orleans Saints · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | +140at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.6Not beating its price |
| NO +2.5 spreadNew Orleans Saints · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | +124at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 45% to break even | -12.6Not beating its price |
| Over 10.5 3rd quarter totalNew Orleans Saints · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | +162at Polymarket | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 38% to break even | Record is this season's | -12.7Not beating its price |
| NO -2.5 4th quarter spreadNew Orleans Saints · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | +146at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.