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NFLGame lineTeam total
Over 17.5 (team total)
Won8 of 10last 10 games · 80%
Best price-199Kalshi
Price needs66.6%wins to break even
Every game13 of 23this season and last
Trend score-19.9Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 67% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 67% to break even | 44%–95% | 13 points betterwon 80%, needs 67% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 67% to break even | 54%–93% | 13 points betterwon 80%, needs 67% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 67% to break even | 39%–78% | 7 points shortwon 60%, needs 67% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 67% to break even | 50%–96% | 17 points betterwon 83%, needs 67% |
| Last season | 8 of 1747%needs 67% to break even | 29%–66% | 19 points shortwon 47%, needs 67% |
| Every game | 13 of 2357%needs 67% to break even | 40%–72% | 10 points shortwon 57%, needs 67% |
Games like tonight
Tonight NO plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against PIT. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Over 17.5 (team total)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
NO points in each game against over 17.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | NO points | Beat 17.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  NYG | 34 | +16.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 |  MIN | 13 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 |  ATL | 24 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 |  LV | 27 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  BAL | 24 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  DET | 30 | +12.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | ATL | 17 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 28 |  TEN | 34 | +16.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 |  NYJ | 29 | +11.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 |  CAR | 20 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 |  TB | 24 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 |  MIA | 17 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | ATL | 10 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | CAR | 17 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 |  LAR | 10 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | TB | 3 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Oct 19 |  CHI | 14 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 |  NE | 19 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 | NYG | 26 | +8.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 |  BUF | 19 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 21 |  SEA | 13 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 |  SF | 21 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 |  ARI | 13 | -4.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 17.5 team totalNew Orleans Saints · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET |  +152at Kalshi | 9 of 17· last season53%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 20.5 team totalNew Orleans Saints · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET |  -101at Polymarket | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 21.5 team totalNew Orleans Saints · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | -131at Kalshi | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on New Orleans Saints in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.