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NFLGame line1st half spread
NO 1H +3.5 (1st half spread)
Won6 of 10last 10 games · 60%
Best price-148Kalshi
Price needs59.7%wins to break even
Every game9 of 23this season and last
Trend score-26.8Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 60% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 60% to break even | 27%–86% | evenwon 60%, needs 60% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 60% to break even | 35%–81% | evenwon 60%, needs 60% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 60% to break even | 33%–72% | 6 points shortwon 53%, needs 60% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 60% to break even | 22%–78% | 10 points shortwon 50%, needs 60% |
| Last season | 6 of 1735%needs 60% to break even | 19%–55% | 24 points shortwon 35%, needs 60% |
| Every game | 9 of 2339%needs 60% to break even | 24%–56% | 21 points shortwon 39%, needs 60% |
Games like tonight
Tonight NO plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against PIT. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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NO 1H +3.5 (1st half spread)2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
1H margin in each game against no 1h +3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H margin | Beat -3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  NYG | 0 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 |  MIN | 1 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 |  ATL | -17 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 |  LV | -3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  BAL | -8 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 |  DET | -7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | ATL | -3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 28 |  TEN | -10 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 |  NYJ | 3 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 |  CAR | -3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 |  TB | -3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 |  MIA | -16 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | ATL | -9 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | CAR | 3 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 |  LAR | -10 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | TB | -4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 19 |  CHI | -13 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 |  NE | -6 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 | NYG | 2 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 |  BUF | -4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 |  SEA | -32 | -28.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 |  SF | -9 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Sep 7 |  ARI | -7 | -3.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on New Orleans Saints in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.