This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 36% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 36% to break even | 14%–73% | 4 points betterwon 40%, needs 36% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 36% to break even | 19%–65% | 4 points betterwon 40%, needs 36% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 36% to break even | 17%–54% | 3 points shortwon 33%, needs 36% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 36% to break even | 22%–78% | 14 points betterwon 50%, needs 36% |
| Last season | 4 of 1921%needs 36% to break even | 10%–40% | 15 points shortwon 21%, needs 36% |
| Every game | 7 of 2528%needs 36% to break even | 16%–44% | 8 points shortwon 28%, needs 36% |
Tonight HOU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against NYG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 48.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 48.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 37.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6.5 1st quarter totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
| 65 |
| +16.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 11 | 29 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 64 | +15.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 36 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 26 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 67 | +18.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 18 | 44 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 36 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Jan 4 | 68 | +19.5 | Won |
| Dec 27 | 36 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 | 44 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | 60 | +11.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 | 30 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | 36 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Nov 20 | 42 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | 29 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | 65 | +16.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 | 33 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | 41 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Oct 20 | 46 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 | 54 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 | 26 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | 27 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Sep 15 | 39 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 7 | 23 | -25.5 | Lost |
| 9 of 19· last season47%needs 36% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -7.2Not beating its price |
| Under 38.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +155at Polymarket | 9 of 19· last season47%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.2Not beating its price |
| Under 40.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 10 of 19· last season53%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.7Not beating its price |
| Under 41.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 11 of 19· last season58%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.5Not beating its price |
| Under 42.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 12 of 19· last season63%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.9Not beating its price |
| Under 43 game total, HOU gamesHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -105at Hard Rock | 12 of 19· last season63%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.3Not beating its price |
| Under 43.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 12 of 19· last season63%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.1Not beating its price |
| Under 44.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -139at Polymarket | 14 of 19· last season74%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.5Not beating its price |
| Under 45.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 14 of 19· last season74%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.5Not beating its price |
| Under 46.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 15 of 19· last season79%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 36% to break even |
| -10.3Not beating its price |
| Under 26.5 team totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 14 of 19· last season74%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.3Not beating its price |
| Under 16.5 1st half team totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 15 of 19· last season79%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.5Not beating its price |
| Under 13.5 1st half team totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 13 of 19· last season68%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.6Not beating its price |
| Over 10.5 3rd quarter totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 37% to break even | -13.7Not beating its price |
| Under 22.5 1st half totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 55% to break even | -14.1Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 1st half totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 11 of 19· last season58%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.5Not beating its price |
| Under 24.5 team totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 12 of 19· last season63%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.6Not beating its price |
| Under 17.5 1st half totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 8 of 19· last season42%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.3Not beating its price |
| Under 27.5 team totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 14 of 19· last season74%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.4Not beating its price |
| Under 6.5 3rd quarter totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 7 of 19· last season37%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.6Not beating its price |
| Under 10.5 2nd quarter totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 45% to break even | -16.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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