This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 61% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 61% to break even | 27%–86% | 1 points shortwon 60%, needs 61% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 61% to break even | 35%–81% | 1 points shortwon 60%, needs 61% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 61% to break even | 46%–83% | 6 points betterwon 67%, needs 61% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 61% to break even | 22%–78% | 11 points shortwon 50%, needs 61% |
| Last season | 14 of 1974%needs 61% to break even | 55%–87% | 13 points betterwon 74%, needs 61% |
| Every game | 17 of 2568%needs 61% to break even | 52%–81% | 7 points betterwon 68%, needs 61% |
Tonight HOU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against NYG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 45.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 45.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 38.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6.5 1st quarter totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
| 65 |
| -19.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 11 | 29 | +16.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 64 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 36 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 26 | +19.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 67 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 18 | 44 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | 36 | +9.5 | Won |
| Jan 4 | 68 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Dec 27 | 36 | +9.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | 44 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | 60 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 | 30 | +15.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 | 36 | +9.5 | Won |
| Nov 20 | 42 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 | 29 | +16.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | 65 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | 33 | +12.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | 41 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 20 | 46 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 | 54 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 | 26 | +19.5 | Won |
| Sep 21 | 27 | +18.5 | Won |
| Sep 15 | 39 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 | 23 | +22.5 | Won |
| 10 of 19· last season53%needs 65% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -31.6Not beating its price |
| Over 40.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 60% to break even | -28.0Not beating its price |
| Over 41.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 57% to break even | -26.4Not beating its price |
| Over 42.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -109at Polymarket | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 52% to break even | -24.4Not beating its price |
| Over 43 game total, HOU gamesHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | LVG-107at LowVig | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 52% to break even | -24.1Not beating its price |
| Over 43.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 49% to break even | -21.6Not beating its price |
| Over 44.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 45% to break even | Record is this season's | -23.3Not beating its price |
| Over 45.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 44% to break even | Record is this season's | -22.0Not beating its price |
| Over 46.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +149at Polymarket | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 40% to break even | Record is this season's | -19.8Not beating its price |
| Over 48.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +177at Polymarket | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 36% to break even | Record is this season's | -16.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 35% to break even |
| -9.4Not beating its price |
| Under 26.5 team totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 14 of 19· last season74%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.3Not beating its price |
| Under 16.5 1st half team totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 15 of 19· last season79%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.5Not beating its price |
| Under 13.5 1st half team totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 13 of 19· last season68%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.6Not beating its price |
| Over 10.5 3rd quarter totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 37% to break even | -13.7Not beating its price |
| Under 22.5 1st half totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 55% to break even | -14.1Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 1st half totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 11 of 19· last season58%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.5Not beating its price |
| Under 24.5 team totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 12 of 19· last season63%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.6Not beating its price |
| Under 17.5 1st half totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 8 of 19· last season42%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.3Not beating its price |
| Under 27.5 team totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 14 of 19· last season74%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.4Not beating its price |
| Under 6.5 3rd quarter totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 7 of 19· last season37%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.6Not beating its price |
| Under 10.5 2nd quarter totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 45% to break even | -16.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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