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NFLGame lineTeam total
Under 24.5 (team total)
Won12 of 19last season · 63%
Best price+129Kalshi
Price needs43.7%wins to break even
Every game14 of 25this season and last
Trend score-14.6Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 44% to break even | 14%–73% | 4 points shortwon 40%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 44% to break even | 19%–65% | 4 points shortwon 40%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 44% to break even | 33%–72% | 10 points betterwon 53%, needs 44% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 44% to break even | 12%–65% | 10 points shortwon 33%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 12 of 1963%needs 44% to break even | 44%–79% | 19 points betterwon 63%, needs 44% |
| Every game | 14 of 2556%needs 44% to break even | 40%–71% | 12 points betterwon 56%, needs 44% |
Games like tonight
Tonight HOU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against NYG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Under 24.5 (team total)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
HOU points in each game against under 24.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | HOU points | Beat 24.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  JAX | 34 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 |  TEN | 26 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 |  DAL | 30 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 |  IND | 17 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  CIN | 6 | +18.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  BUF | 31 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 18 |  NE | 16 | +8.5 | Won |
| Jan 12 |  PIT | 30 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Jan 4 | IND | 38 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Dec 27 |  LAC | 20 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 |  LV | 23 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 |  ARI | 40 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 |  KC | 20 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 | IND | 20 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 20 | BUF | 23 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 | TEN | 16 | +8.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | JAX | 36 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 |  DEN | 15 | +9.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 |  SF | 26 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 20 |  SEA | 19 | +5.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 |  BAL | 44 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 | TEN | 26 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | JAX | 10 | +14.5 | Won |
| Sep 15 |  TB | 19 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 |  LAR | 9 | +15.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 24.5 team totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  -161at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 62% to break even | -27.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 26.5 team totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 58% to break even | -31.7Not beating its price | ||
| Over 27.5 team totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  -105at Polymarket | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 51% to break even | -26.2Not beating its price | ||
| Over 28.5 team totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 47% to break even | -22.5Not beating its price | ||
| Over 31.5 team totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 4 of 19· last season21%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Houston Texans in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.