This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 48% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 48% to break even | 27%–86% | 12 points betterwon 60%, needs 48% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 48% to break even | 27%–73% | 2 points betterwon 50%, needs 48% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 48% to break even | 39%–78% | 12 points betterwon 60%, needs 48% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 48% to break even | 22%–78% | 2 points betterwon 50%, needs 48% |
| Last season | 14 of 1974%needs 48% to break even | 55%–87% | 26 points betterwon 74%, needs 48% |
| Every game | 17 of 2568%needs 48% to break even | 52%–81% | 20 points betterwon 68%, needs 48% |
Tonight HOU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against NYG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
HOU points in each game against under 26.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 24.5 team totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 37.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
| 34 |
| -7.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 11 | 26 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 30 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 17 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 6 | +20.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 31 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 18 | 16 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | 30 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 4 | 38 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Dec 27 | 20 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | 23 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | 40 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 | 20 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 | 20 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 20 | 23 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 | 16 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | 36 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | 15 | +11.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | 26 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 20 | 19 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 | 44 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 | 26 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 21 | 10 | +16.5 | Won |
| Sep 15 | 19 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 | 9 | +17.5 | Won |
| 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 62% to break even |
| -27.3Not beating its price |
| Over 26.5 team totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -129at Polymarket | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 56% to break even | -30.5Not beating its price |
| Over 27.5 team totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -105at Polymarket | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 51% to break even | -26.2Not beating its price |
| Over 28.5 team totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 47% to break even | -22.5Not beating its price |
| Over 31.5 team totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 4 of 19· last season21%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 9 of 19· last season47%needs 35% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -6.4Not beating its price |
| Under 38.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +155at Polymarket | 9 of 19· last season47%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.2Not beating its price |
| Under 6.5 1st quarter totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 36% to break even | -10.3Not beating its price |
| Under 40.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 10 of 19· last season53%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.7Not beating its price |
| Under 13.5 1st half team totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 13 of 19· last season68%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.6Not beating its price |
| Over 10.5 3rd quarter totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 37% to break even | -13.7Not beating its price |
| Under 22.5 1st half totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 55% to break even | -14.1Not beating its price |
| Under 16.5 1st half team totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 15 of 19· last season79%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.3Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 1st half totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 11 of 19· last season58%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.5Not beating its price |
| Under 17.5 1st half totalHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 8 of 19· last season42%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.3Not beating its price |
| Under 41.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 11 of 19· last season58%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.5Not beating its price |
| Under 42.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Texans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 12 of 19· last season63%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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