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NFLPlayer propReceiving yards
Nico Collins over 65.5 receiving yards
Won9 of 15last 15 games · 60%
Best price-135Fanatics
Price needs57.4%wins to break even
Every game11 of 20this season and last
Trend score-18.9Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 57% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 57% to break even | 27%–86% | 3 points betterwon 60%, needs 57% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 57% to break even | 35%–81% | 3 points betterwon 60%, needs 57% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 57% to break even | 39%–78% | 3 points betterwon 60%, needs 57% |
| This season | 3 of 475%needs 57% to break even | 36%–94% | 18 points betterwon 75%, needs 57% |
| Last season | 8 of 1650%needs 57% to break even | 31%–69% | 7 points shortwon 50%, needs 57% |
| Every game | 11 of 2055%needs 57% to break even | 37%–72% | 2 points shortwon 55%, needs 57% |
Games like tonight
Tonight HOU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against NYG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Nico Collins over 65.5 receiving yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receiving yards in each game against over 65.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 65.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  JAX | 74 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  TEN | 56 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  DAL | 118 | +52.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  BUF | 75 | +9.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 19 |  PIT | 21 | -44.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 |  LAC | 57 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 |  LV | 59 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 |  ARI | 85 | +19.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 |  KC | 121 | +55.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 |  IND | 98 | +32.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 | BUF | 55 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | TEN | 92 | +26.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | JAX | 136 | +70.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 |  DEN | 75 | +9.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 |  SEA | 27 | -38.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  BAL | 52 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | TEN | 79 | +13.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | JAX | 104 | +38.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  TB | 52 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  LAR | 25 | -40.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 49.5 receiving yardsNico Collins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) |  +181at Kalshi | 3 of 16· last season19%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 59.5 receiving yardsNico Collins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | +119at Kalshi | 8 of 16· last season50%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 65.5 receiving yardsNico Collins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) |  +100at Fanatics | 8 of 16· last season50%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 66.5 receiving yardsNico Collins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) |  -110at DraftKings | 8 of 16· last season50%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 68.5 receiving yardsNico Collins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) |  -112at BetOnline | 8 of 16· last season50%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.8Not beating its price | |
| Under 69.5 receiving yardsNico Collins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) |  -118at BetRivers | 8 of 16· last season50%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.8Not beating its price | |
| Under 79.5 receiving yardsNico Collins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | -191at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 66% to break even | -21.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Nico Collins in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 4.5 receptionsNico Collins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) |  +120at BetMGM | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.1Not beating its price | |
| Scores a TDNico Collins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | +140at Kalshi | 6 of 16· last season38%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 5.5 receptionsNico Collins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | -195at Fanatics | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 5.5 receptionsNico Collins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | +146at Kalshi | 2 of 4· this season50%needs 41% to break even | Record is this season's | -21.7Not beating its price | |
| Doesn't score a TDNico Collins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | -168at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 63% to break even | -22.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 4.5 receptionsNico Collins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | -131at Kalshi | 3 of 4· this season75%needs 57% to break even | Record is this season's | -25.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.