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NFLPlayer propReceiving yards
Jaylin Noel over 25.5 receiving yards
Won5 of 6this season · 83%
Best price-135BetMGM
Price needs57.4%wins to break even
Every game9 of 25this season and last
Trend score-22.5Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 57% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 57% to break even | 44%–95% | 23 points betterwon 80%, needs 57% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 57% to break even | 35%–81% | 3 points betterwon 60%, needs 57% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 57% to break even | 22%–61% | 17 points shortwon 40%, needs 57% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 57% to break even | 50%–96% | 26 points betterwon 83%, needs 57% |
| Last season | 4 of 1921%needs 57% to break even | 10%–40% | 36 points shortwon 21%, needs 57% |
| Every game | 9 of 2536%needs 57% to break even | 22%–52% | 21 points shortwon 36%, needs 57% |
Games like tonight
Tonight HOU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against NYG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Jaylin Noel over 25.5 receiving yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receiving yards in each game against over 25.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 25.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  JAX | 107 | +81.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  TEN | 41 | +15.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  DAL | 85 | +59.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  IND | 17 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  CIN | 31 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  BUF | 53 | +27.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 20 |  NE | 0 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Wk 19 |  PIT | 0 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Wk 18 | IND | 13 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 |  LAC | 54 | +28.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 |  LV | 0 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 |  ARI | 0 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 |  KC | 12 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | IND | 0 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | BUF | 4 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | TEN | 12 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 | JAX | 35 | +9.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 |  DEN | 0 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 |  SF | 63 | +37.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 |  SEA | 77 | +51.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  BAL | 13 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | TEN | -2 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | JAX | 4 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  TB | 0 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  LAR | 7 | -18.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 14.5 receiving yardsJaylin Noel · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) |  +198at Kalshi | 15 of 19· last season79%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 19.5 receiving yardsJaylin Noel · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | +140at Kalshi | 15 of 19· last season79%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 24.5 receiving yardsJaylin Noel · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | +114at Kalshi | 15 of 19· last season79%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 25.5 receiving yardsJaylin Noel · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) |  +100at BetMGM | 15 of 19· last season79%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 27.5 receiving yardsJaylin Noel · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) |  -112at BetOnline | 15 of 19· last season79%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 29.5 receiving yardsJaylin Noel · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) |  -113at DraftKings | 15 of 19· last season79%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Jaylin Noel in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 receptionsJaylin Noel · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | +189at Kalshi | 13 of 19· last season68%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 2.5 receptionsJaylin Noel · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | -125at DraftKings | 15 of 19· last season79%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 2.5 receptionsJaylin Noel · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) |  +116at BetRivers | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 46% to break even | -24.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.