This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 62% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 62% to break even | 27%–86% | 2 points shortwon 60%, needs 62% | 13.2receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 62% to break even | 19%–65% | 22 points shortwon 40%, needs 62% | 10.3receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 62% to break even | 28%–67% | 15 points shortwon 47%, needs 62% | 12.8receiving yards |
| This season | 2 of 367%needs 62% to break even | 25%–92% | 5 points betterwon 67%, needs 62% | 13.7receiving yards |
| Last season |
Tonight NYG plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 10 on the road. Tonight: HOU allows 22.2 receiving yards a game to running backs, the 6th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 31.3): a tough matchup for this bet. How HOU defends running backs
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 4.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 4.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores a TD |
| 15%–49% |
| 32 points shortwon 29%, needs 62% |
| 8.9receiving yards |
| Every game | 7 of 2035%needs 62% to break even | 20%–53% | 27 points shortwon 35%, needs 62% | 9.6receiving yards |
| Wk 6 | 19 | +14.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 0 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 22 | +17.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 0 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 25 | +20.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 | -1 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 | 1 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | 34 | +29.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 | 0 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 | 53 | +48.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 | 8 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 | 28 | +23.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 | 0 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 | 0 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 0 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 0 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | -4 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 0 | -4.5 | Lost |
| -110at BetMGM |
| 12 of 17· last season71%needs 52% to break even6 of 10 on the road |
| Record is last season's |
| -17.9Not beating its price |
| Under 7.5 receiving yardsDevin Singletary · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -113at DraftKings | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 53% to break even6 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -18.4Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 receiving yardsDevin Singletary · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 64% to break even6 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -24.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +756at Kalshi |
| 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 12% to break even2 of 10 on the road |
| 4.5Good |
| Over 19.5 rushing yardsDevin Singletary · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +165at Fanatics | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 38% to break even5 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -9.7Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 receptionsDevin Singletary · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -135at BetMGM | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 57% to break even7 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -12.9Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 rush attemptsDevin Singletary · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -185at Fanatics | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 65% to break even5 of 10 on the road | -13.7Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 receptionsDevin Singletary · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 44% to break even3 of 10 on the road | -25.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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