This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 53% to break even | 14%–73% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 53% to break even | 35%–81% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 53% to break even | 33%–72% | evenwon 53%, needs 53% |
| This season | 1 of 333%needs 53% to break even | 8%–75% | 20 points shortwon 33%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 12 of 1771%needs 53% to break even | 51%–85% | 17 points betterwon 71%, needs 53% |
Tonight NYG plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against under 7.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 7.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 19 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 receiving yardsDevin Singletary |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 receptionsDevin Singletary |
| Every game |
| 13 of 2065%needs 53% to break even |
| 47%–80% |
| 12 points betterwon 65%, needs 53% |
| 0 |
| +7.5 |
| Won |
| Wk 1 | 22 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 0 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 25 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | -1 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 | 1 | +6.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | 34 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | 0 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | 3 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | 53 | -45.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | 8 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 | 28 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | 0 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 | 0 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 0 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 0 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | -4 | +11.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 0 | +7.5 | Won |
| -110at DraftKings |
| 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 52% to break even |
| -24.0Not beating its price |
| Over 9.5 receiving yardsDevin Singletary · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 43% to break even | -18.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -138at DraftKings |
| 13 of 17· last season76%needs 58% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -13.4Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 receptionsDevin Singletary · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 46% to break even | -26.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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