This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 52% to break even | 14%–73% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% | 13.2receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 52% to break even | 35%–81% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% | 10.3receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 52% to break even | 33%–72% | 1 points betterwon 53%, needs 52% | 12.8receiving yards |
| This season | 1 of 333%needs 52% to break even | 8%–75% | 19 points shortwon 33%, needs 52% | 13.7receiving yards |
| Last season | 12 of 1771%needs 52% to break even | 51%–85% | 18 points betterwon 71%, needs 52% | 8.9receiving yards |
| Every game | 13 of 2065%needs 52% to break even | 47%–80% | 13 points betterwon 65%, needs 52% | 9.6receiving yards |
Tonight NYG plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 6 of 10 on the road. Tonight: HOU allows 22.2 receiving yards a game to running backs, the 6th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 31.3): an easy matchup for this bet. How HOU defends running backs
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against under 6.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 6.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 19 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 0 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 22 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 0 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 25 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 16 | -1 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Wk 15 | 1 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Wk 13 | 34 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 12 | 0 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Wk 11 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Wk 10 | 53 | -46.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 9 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 8 | 28 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 7 | 0 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Wk 6 | 0 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 0 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 0 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | -4 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 0 | +6.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores a TDDevin Singletary · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +756at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 12% to break even2 of 10 on the road | 4.5Good | ||
| Over 19.5 rushing yardsDevin Singletary · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +165at Fanatics | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 38% to break even5 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -9.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 1.5 receptionsDevin Singletary · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -135at BetMGM | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 57% to break even7 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -12.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 3.5 rush attemptsDevin Singletary · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -185at Fanatics | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 65% to break even5 of 10 on the road | -13.7Not beating its price | ||
| Over 1.5 receptionsDevin Singletary · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 44% to break even3 of 10 on the road | -25.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.