This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 58% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 58% to break even | 27%–86% | 2 points betterwon 60%, needs 58% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 58% to break even | 44%–87% | 12 points betterwon 70%, needs 58% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 58% to break even | 46%–83% | 9 points betterwon 67%, needs 58% |
| This season | 2 of 367%needs 58% to break even | 25%–92% | 9 points betterwon 67%, needs 58% |
| Last season | 13 of 1776%needs 58% to break even | 57%–89% | 18 points betterwon 76%, needs 58% |
| Every game | 15 of 2075%needs 58% to break even | 57%–87% | 17 points betterwon 75%, needs 58% |
Tonight NYG plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receptions in each game against under 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receptions | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 16 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 15 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 13 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 12 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 10 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 9 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 7 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 6 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 receptionsDevin Singletary · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 46% to break even | -26.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 9.5 receiving yardsDevin Singletary · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 43% to break even | -18.0Not beating its price | ||
| Under 7.5 receiving yardsDevin Singletary · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -114at DraftKings | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 7.5 receiving yardsDevin Singletary · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -110at DraftKings | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 52% to break even | -24.0Not beating its price | ||
| Under 9.5 receiving yardsDevin Singletary · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.