Loading
NFLPlayer propPassing yards
J.J. McCarthy over 219.5 passing yards
Won2 of 5last 5 games · 40%
Best price+138DraftKings
Price needs42.0%wins to break even
Every game3 of 12this season and last
Trend score-22.2Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 42% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 42% to break even | 14%–73% | 2 points shortwon 40%, needs 42% | 156.6passing yards |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 42% to break even | 13%–56% | 12 points shortwon 30%, needs 42% | 157.4passing yards |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1225%needs 42% to break even | 10%–49% | 17 points shortwon 25%, needs 42% | 156.3passing yards |
| This season | 1 of 250%needs 42% to break even | 12%–88% | 8 points betterwon 50%, needs 42% | 121.5passing yards |
| Last season | 2 of 1020%needs 42% to break even | 7%–46% | 22 points shortwon 20%, needs 42% | 163.2passing yards |
| Every game | 3 of 1225%needs 42% to break even | 10%–49% | 17 points shortwon 25%, needs 42% | 156.3passing yards |
Games like tonight
Tonight NYG plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 1 of 6 on the road. Tonight: HOU allows 264.5 passing yards a game to quarterbacks, the 6th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 236.1): an easy matchup for this bet. How HOU defends quarterbacks
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
J.J. McCarthy over 219.5 passing yards2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Passing yards in each game against over 219.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 174.5 passing yardsJ.J. McCarthy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  +181at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last season70%needs 36% to break even5 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | 0.3Slight | |
| Under 196.5 passing yardsJ.J. McCarthy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  -115at BetRivers | 8 of 10· last season80%needs 53% to break even5 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -5.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 199.5 passing yardsJ.J. McCarthy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last season80%needs 50% to break even5 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -2.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 202.5 passing yardsJ.J. McCarthy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  -113at DraftKings | 8 of 10· last season80%needs 53% to break even5 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -5.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 203.5 passing yardsJ.J. McCarthy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  -114at FanDuel | 8 of 10· last season80%needs 53% to break even5 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -5.2Not beating its price | |
| Under 204.5 passing yardsJ.J. McCarthy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  -115at BetMGM | 8 of 10· last season80%needs 53% to break even5 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -5.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 224.5 passing yardsJ.J. McCarthy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last season80%needs 65% to break even5 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -13.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on J.J. McCarthy in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.