This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 16% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 16% to break even | 14%–73% | 24 points betterwon 40%, needs 16% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 16% to break even | 13%–56% | 14 points betterwon 30%, needs 16% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1233%needs 16% to break even | 16%–57% | 17 points betterwon 33%, needs 16% |
| This season | 0 of 20%needs 16% to break even | 0%–58% | 16 points shortwon 0%, needs 16% |
| Last season | 4 of 1040%needs 16% to break even | 19%–65% | 24 points betterwon 40%, needs 16% |
| Every game | 4 of 1233%needs 16% to break even | 16%–57% | 17 points betterwon 33%, needs 16% |
Tonight NYG plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 6 on the road.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every J.J. McCarthy game, newest first: whether McCarthy scored a touchdown.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.