This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 45% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 45% to break even | 27%–86% | 15 points betterwon 60%, needs 45% | 17.6rush attempts |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 45% to break even | 27%–73% | 5 points betterwon 50%, needs 45% | 16.6rush attempts |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 45% to break even | 33%–72% | 8 points betterwon 53%, needs 45% | 17rush attempts |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 45% to break even | 22%–78% | 5 points betterwon 50%, needs 45% | 16rush attempts |
| Last season |
Tonight TB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against CAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 3 of 6 on the road. Tonight: CAR allows 20.2 rush attempts a game to running backs, the 9th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 21.9): a tough matchup for this bet. How CAR defends running backs
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rush attempts in each game against over 16.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rush attempts | Beat 16.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 19 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 5 of 1050%needs 45% to break even |
| 27%–73% |
| 5 points betterwon 50%, needs 45% |
| 17.3rush attempts |
| Every game | 8 of 1650%needs 45% to break even | 31%–69% | 5 points betterwon 50%, needs 45% | 16.8rush attempts |
| 21 |
| +4.5 |
| Won |
| Wk 4 | 16 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 15 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 17 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 8 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 26 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 9 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | 19 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 | 16 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 | 15 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | 17 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 15 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 25 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 17 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 14 | -2.5 | Lost |
| -115at BetMGM |
| 4 of 10· last season40%needs 53% to break even3 of 6 on the road |
| Record is last season's |
| -30.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +140at FanDuel |
| 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 42% to break even2 of 6 on the road |
| -3.6Not beating its price |
| Under 16.5 receiving yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -112at BetOnline | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 53% to break even4 of 6 on the road | -4.2Not beating its price |
| Under 15.5 receiving yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -114at FanDuel | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 53% to break even4 of 6 on the road | -4.5Not beating its price |
| Under 17.5 receiving yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -116at DraftKings | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 54% to break even4 of 6 on the road | -4.9Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 receiving yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -116at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 54% to break even4 of 6 on the road | -4.9Not beating its price |
| Under 64.5 rushing yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +101at BetOnline | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 50% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -11.5Not beating its price |
| Under 66.5 rushing yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -114at FanDuel | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 53% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -11.5Not beating its price |
| Doesn't score a TDBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -142at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 59% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -12.6Not beating its price |
| Under 65.5 rushing yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -105at Fanatics | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 51% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -12.6Not beating its price |
| Under 69.5 rushing yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -137at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 58% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -14.9Not beating its price |
| Under 49.5 rushing yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +189at Kalshi | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 35% to break even3 of 6 on the road | Record is this season's | -15.2Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 receptionsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +170at BetRivers | 5 of 10· last season50%needs 37% to break even4 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -15.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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