This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 54% to break even | 65%–100% | 46 points betterwon 100%, needs 54% | 5.2receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 54% to break even | 65%–98% | 36 points betterwon 90%, needs 54% | 11.2receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 54% to break even | 39%–78% | 6 points betterwon 60%, needs 54% | 22.9receiving yards |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 54% to break even | 50%–96% | 30 points betterwon 83%, needs 54% | 12.3receiving yards |
| Last season | 5 of 1050%needs 54% to break even | 27%–73% | 4 points shortwon 50%, needs 54% | 27.7receiving yards |
| Every game | 10 of 1663%needs 54% to break even | 42%–79% | 9 points betterwon 63%, needs 54% | 21.9receiving yards |
Tonight TB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against CAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 6 on the road. Tonight: CAR allows 33.8 receiving yards a game to running backs, the 15th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 31.3). How CAR defends running backs
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against under 17.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 17.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 3 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 10 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 0 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 12 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 1 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 48 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 13 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 14 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Wk 16 | 0 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Wk 15 | 11 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Wk 14 | 26 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 13 | 20 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 102 | -84.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 33 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 50 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 8 | +9.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 14.5 receiving yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -121at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last season50%needs 55% to break even2 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -32.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 15.5 receiving yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -114at FanDuel | 5 of 10· last season50%needs 53% to break even2 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -31.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 16.5 receiving yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -115at BetOnline | 5 of 10· last season50%needs 53% to break even2 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -31.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 17.5 receiving yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -108at DraftKings | 5 of 10· last season50%needs 52% to break even2 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -30.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 19.5 receiving yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +130at FanDuel | 5 of 10· last season50%needs 43% to break even2 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -23.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 24.5 receiving yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +194at FanDuel | 4 of 10· last season40%needs 34% to break even2 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -18.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 26.5 receiving yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +126at BetOnline | 3 of 10· last season30%needs 44% to break even2 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -28.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 36.5 receiving yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +181at BetOnline | 3 of 15· last 15 games20%needs 36% to break even2 of 6 on the road | -23.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 14.5 rush attemptsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -147at BetOnline | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 60% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -1.7Not beating its price | ||
| Under 2.5 receptionsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +140at FanDuel | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 42% to break even2 of 6 on the road | -3.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 15.5 rush attemptsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -103at BetOnline | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 51% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -8.0Not beating its price | ||
| Under 64.5 rushing yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +101at BetOnline | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 50% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -11.5Not beating its price | ||
| Under 66.5 rushing yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -114at FanDuel | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 53% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -11.5Not beating its price | ||
| Doesn't score a TDBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -142at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 59% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -12.6Not beating its price | ||
| Under 65.5 rushing yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -105at Fanatics | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 51% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -12.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 16.5 rush attemptsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +123at BetOnline | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 45% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -13.4Not beating its price | ||
| Over 18.5 rush attemptsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +200at BetOnline | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 33% to break even2 of 6 on the road | -14.0Not beating its price | ||
| Under 69.5 rushing yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -137at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 58% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -14.9Not beating its price | ||
| Under 49.5 rushing yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +189at Kalshi | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 35% to break even3 of 6 on the road | Record is this season's | -15.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 3.5 receptionsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +170at BetRivers | 5 of 10· last season50%needs 37% to break even4 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -15.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.