This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 54% to break even | 65%–100% | 46 points betterwon 100%, needs 54% | 5.2receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 54% to break even | 65%–98% | 36 points betterwon 90%, needs 54% | 11.2receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 54% to break even | 39%–78% | 6 points betterwon 60%, needs 54% | 22.9receiving yards |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 54% to break even | 50%–96% | 30 points betterwon 83%, needs 54% | 12.3receiving yards |
| Last season |
Tonight TB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against CAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 6 on the road. Tonight: CAR allows 33.8 receiving yards a game to running backs, the 15th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 31.3). How CAR defends running backs
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against under 14.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 14.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 3 | +11.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 5 of 1050%needs 54% to break even |
| 27%–73% |
| 4 points shortwon 50%, needs 54% |
| 27.7receiving yards |
| Every game | 10 of 1663%needs 54% to break even | 42%–79% | 9 points betterwon 63%, needs 54% | 21.9receiving yards |
| Wk 5 |
| 10 |
| +4.5 |
| Won |
| Wk 4 | 0 | +14.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 12 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 1 | +13.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 48 | -33.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 13 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 14 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 | 0 | +14.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 | 11 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 | 26 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | 20 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 102 | -87.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 33 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 50 | -35.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 8 | +6.5 | Won |
| -121at Kalshi |
| 5 of 10· last season50%needs 55% to break even2 of 6 on the road |
| Record is last season's |
| -32.3Not beating its price |
| Over 15.5 receiving yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -114at FanDuel | 5 of 10· last season50%needs 53% to break even2 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -31.1Not beating its price |
| Over 16.5 receiving yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -115at BetOnline | 5 of 10· last season50%needs 53% to break even2 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -31.3Not beating its price |
| Over 17.5 receiving yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -108at DraftKings | 5 of 10· last season50%needs 52% to break even2 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -30.1Not beating its price |
| Over 19.5 receiving yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +130at FanDuel | 5 of 10· last season50%needs 43% to break even2 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -23.7Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 receiving yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +194at FanDuel | 4 of 10· last season40%needs 34% to break even2 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -18.7Not beating its price |
| Over 26.5 receiving yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +126at BetOnline | 3 of 10· last season30%needs 44% to break even2 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -28.5Not beating its price |
| Over 36.5 receiving yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +181at BetOnline | 3 of 15· last 15 games20%needs 36% to break even2 of 6 on the road | -23.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -147at BetOnline |
| 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 60% to break even3 of 6 on the road |
| -1.7Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 receptionsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +140at FanDuel | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 42% to break even2 of 6 on the road | -3.6Not beating its price |
| Over 15.5 rush attemptsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -103at BetOnline | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 51% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -8.0Not beating its price |
| Under 64.5 rushing yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +101at BetOnline | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 50% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -11.5Not beating its price |
| Under 66.5 rushing yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -114at FanDuel | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 53% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -11.5Not beating its price |
| Doesn't score a TDBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -142at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 59% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -12.6Not beating its price |
| Under 65.5 rushing yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -105at Fanatics | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 51% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -12.6Not beating its price |
| Over 16.5 rush attemptsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +123at BetOnline | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 45% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -13.4Not beating its price |
| Over 18.5 rush attemptsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +200at BetOnline | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 33% to break even2 of 6 on the road | -14.0Not beating its price |
| Under 69.5 rushing yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -137at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 58% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -14.9Not beating its price |
| Under 49.5 rushing yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +189at Kalshi | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 35% to break even3 of 6 on the road | Record is this season's | -15.2Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 receptionsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +170at BetRivers | 5 of 10· last season50%needs 37% to break even4 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -15.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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