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NFLPlayer propReceiving yards
Tetairoa McMillan over 59.5 receiving yards
Won7 of 10last 10 games · 70%
Best price-183Kalshi
Price needs64.7%wins to break even
Every game14 of 23this season and last
Trend score-19.8Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 65% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 65% to break even | 44%–95% | 15 points betterwon 80%, needs 65% | 94.2receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 65% to break even | 44%–87% | 5 points betterwon 70%, needs 65% | 74receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 65% to break even | 39%–78% | 5 points shortwon 60%, needs 65% | 70.3receiving yards |
| This season | 4 of 580%needs 65% to break even | 44%–95% | 15 points betterwon 80%, needs 65% | 94.2receiving yards |
| Last season | 10 of 1856%needs 65% to break even | 37%–73% | 9 points shortwon 56%, needs 65% | 60.8receiving yards |
| Every game | 14 of 2361%needs 65% to break even | 44%–76% | 4 points shortwon 61%, needs 65% | 68.1receiving yards |
Games like tonight
Tonight CAR plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against TB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 7 of 11 at home. Tonight: TB allows 145.7 receiving yards a game to wide receivers, the 14th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 150.3). How TB defends wide receivers
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Every book's price
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Tetairoa McMillan over 59.5 receiving yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receiving yards in each game against over 59.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 59.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  PHI | 86 | +26.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  DET | 192 | +132.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  CLE | 17 | -42.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  ATL | 101 | +41.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  CHI | 75 | +15.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 19 |  LAR | 81 | +21.5 | Won |
| Wk 18 |  TB | 85 | +25.5 | Won |
| Wk 17 |  SEA | 5 | -54.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | TB | 73 | +13.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 |  NO | 25 | -34.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | LAR | 43 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 |  SF | 35 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | ATL | 130 | +70.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | NO | 60 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 |  GB | 46 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 |  BUF | 99 | +39.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 |  NYJ | 33 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 |  DAL | 29 | -30.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  MIA | 73 | +13.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  NE | 62 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | ATL | 48 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  ARI | 100 | +40.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  JAX | 68 | +8.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Tetairoa McMillan in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.