This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 53% to break even | 0%–35% | 53 points shortwon 0%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 53% to break even | 2%–35% | 43 points shortwon 10%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 53% to break even | 22%–61% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 53% to break even | 4%–50% | 36 points shortwon 17%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 5 of 1050%needs 53% to break even | 27%–73% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
| Every game |
Tonight TB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against CAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 15.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 15.5 receiving yardsBucky Irving |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 receptionsBucky Irving |
| 21%–58% |
| 16 points shortwon 38%, needs 53% |
| 0 |
| -15.5 |
| Lost |
| Wk 3 | 12 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 1 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 48 | +32.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 13 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 14 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | 0 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 | 11 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 | 26 | +10.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | 20 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 102 | +86.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 33 | +17.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 50 | +34.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 8 | -7.5 | Lost |
| -114at FanDuel |
| 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 53% to break even |
| -4.5Not beating its price |
| Under 16.5 receiving yardsBucky Irving · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -113at DraftKings | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 53% to break even | -4.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +140at FanDuel |
| 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 42% to break even |
| -3.6Not beating its price |
| Under 66.5 rushing yardsBucky Irving · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -114at DraftKings | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 53% to break even | -11.5Not beating its price |
| Under 68.5 rushing yardsBucky Irving · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -118at BetRivers | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 54% to break even | -12.1Not beating its price |
| Doesn't score a TDBucky Irving · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -142at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 59% to break even | -12.6Not beating its price |
| Under 65.5 rushing yardsBucky Irving · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -114at FanDuel | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 53% to break even | -14.1Not beating its price |
| Under 63.5 rushing yardsBucky Irving · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -115at BetMGM | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 53% to break even | -14.3Not beating its price |
| Over 59.5 rushing yardsBucky Irving · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -154at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 61% to break even | -19.0Not beating its price |
| Under 59.5 rushing yardsBucky Irving · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | +109at Kalshi | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 48% to break even | Record is this season's | -23.4Not beating its price |
| Scores a TDBucky Irving · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | +119at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last season40%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.1Not beating its price |
| Over 65.5 rushing yardsBucky Irving · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -111at BetOnline | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 53% to break even | -26.6Not beating its price |
| Over 63.5 rushing yardsBucky Irving · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -115at BetMGM | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 53% to break even | -27.3Not beating its price |
| Over 66.5 rushing yardsBucky Irving · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -110at DraftKings | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 52% to break even | -28.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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