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NFLPlayer propPassing yards
Bryce Young over 279.5 passing yards
Won5 of 5last 5 games · 100%
Best price+169DraftKings
Price needs37.2%wins to break even
Every game7 of 22this season and last
Trend score-9.3Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 37% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 37% to break even | 65%–100% | 63 points betterwon 100%, needs 37% | 309.8passing yards |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 37% to break even | 27%–73% | 13 points betterwon 50%, needs 37% | 248.7passing yards |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 37% to break even | 22%–61% | 3 points betterwon 40%, needs 37% | 235.7passing yards |
| This season | 5 of 5100%needs 37% to break even | 65%–100% | 63 points betterwon 100%, needs 37% | 309.8passing yards |
| Last season | 2 of 1712%needs 37% to break even | 4%–30% | 25 points shortwon 12%, needs 37% | 192.6passing yards |
| Every game | 7 of 2232%needs 37% to break even | 18%–49% | 5 points shortwon 32%, needs 37% | 219.3passing yards |
Games like tonight
Tonight CAR plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against TB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 2 of 10 at home. Tonight: TB allows 237.7 passing yards a game to quarterbacks, the 16th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 236.1). How TB defends quarterbacks
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Bryce Young over 279.5 passing yards2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Passing yards in each game against over 279.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Passing yards | Beat 279.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  PHI | 281 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  DET | 329 | +49.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  CLE | 291 | +11.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  ATL | 287 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  CHI | 361 | +81.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 19 |  LAR | 264 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Wk 18 |  TB | 266 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 |  SEA | 54 | -225.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | TB | 191 | -88.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 |  NO | 163 | -116.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | LAR | 206 | -73.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 |  SF | 169 | -110.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | ATL | 448 | +168.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | NO | 124 | -155.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 |  GB | 102 | -177.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 |  NYJ | 138 | -141.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 |  DAL | 199 | -80.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  MIA | 198 | -81.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  NE | 150 | -129.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | ATL | 121 | -158.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  ARI | 328 | +48.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  JAX | 154 | -125.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 224.5 passing yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  +181at Kalshi | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 36% to break even7 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -6.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 249.5 passing yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 49% to break even7 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -17.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 253.5 passing yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  -111at DraftKings | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 53% to break even7 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -20.2Not beating its price | |
| Under 254.5 passing yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  -115at BetRivers | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 53% to break even7 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -20.9Not beating its price | |
| Under 257.5 passing yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  -115at BetMGM | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 53% to break even7 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -20.9Not beating its price | |
| Under 274.5 passing yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 15 of 17· last season88%needs 63% to break even8 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -19.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Bryce Young in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.