This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 53% to break even | 0%–35% | 53 points shortwon 0%, needs 53% | 309.8passing yards |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 53% to break even | 13%–56% | 23 points shortwon 30%, needs 53% | 248.7passing yards |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 53% to break even | 28%–67% | 7 points shortwon 47%, needs 53% | 235.7passing yards |
| This season | 0 of 50%needs 53% to break even | 0%–35% | 53 points shortwon 0%, needs 53% | 309.8passing yards |
| Last season | 13 of 1776% |
Tonight CAR plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against TB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 7 of 10 at home. Tonight: TB allows 237.7 passing yards a game to quarterbacks, the 16th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 236.1). How TB defends quarterbacks
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Passing yards in each game against under 257.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Passing yards | Beat 257.5 by |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores a TD |
| 57%–89% |
| 23 points betterwon 76%, needs 53% |
| 192.6passing yards |
| Every game | 13 of 2259%needs 53% to break even | 42%–74% | 6 points betterwon 59%, needs 53% | 219.3passing yards |
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 281 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 329 | -71.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 291 | -33.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 287 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 361 | -103.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 19 | 264 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 18 | 266 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 54 | +203.5 | Won | |
| Wk 16 | 191 | +66.5 | Won | |
| Wk 15 | 163 | +94.5 | Won | |
| Wk 13 | 206 | +51.5 | Won | |
| Wk 12 | 169 | +88.5 | Won | |
| Wk 11 | 448 | -190.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 10 | 124 | +133.5 | Won | |
| Wk 9 | 102 | +155.5 | Won | |
| Wk 7 | 138 | +119.5 | Won | |
| Wk 6 | 199 | +58.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 198 | +59.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 150 | +107.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 121 | +136.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 328 | -70.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 154 | +103.5 | Won | |
| -169at BetOnline |
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 63% to break even3 of 10 at home |
| -22.7Not beating its price |
| Over 239.5 passing yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -162at DraftKings | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 62% to break even3 of 10 at home | -21.9Not beating its price |
| Over 243.5 passing yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -139at BetOnline | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 58% to break even3 of 10 at home | -18.9Not beating its price |
| Over 249.5 passing yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -120at Fanatics | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 55% to break even3 of 10 at home | -15.9Not beating its price |
| Over 253.5 passing yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -113at DraftKings | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 53% to break even3 of 10 at home | -14.7Not beating its price |
| Over 254.5 passing yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -114at BetRivers | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 53% to break even3 of 10 at home | -14.9Not beating its price |
| Over 257.5 passing yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 53% to break even3 of 10 at home | -15.1Not beating its price |
| Over 259.5 passing yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +103at DraftKings | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 49% to break even3 of 10 at home | -11.6Not beating its price |
| Over 263.5 passing yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +101at BetOnline | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 50% to break even3 of 10 at home | -12.0Not beating its price |
| Over 269.5 passing yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +133at DraftKings | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 43% to break even2 of 10 at home | -14.0Not beating its price |
| Over 273.5 passing yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +117at BetOnline | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 46% to break even2 of 10 at home | -16.6Not beating its price |
| Over 274.5 passing yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +150at Fanatics | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 40% to break even2 of 10 at home | -11.6Not beating its price |
| Over 279.5 passing yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +169at DraftKings | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 37% to break even2 of 10 at home | -9.3Not beating its price |
| Over 283.5 passing yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +135at BetOnline | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 43% to break even2 of 10 at home | -19.5Not beating its price |
| Over 289.5 passing yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +219at DraftKings | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 31% to break even2 of 10 at home | -15.2Not beating its price |
| Over 293.5 passing yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +156at BetOnline | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 39% to break even2 of 10 at home | -25.6Not beating its price |
| Over 303.5 passing yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +181at BetOnline | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 36% to break even2 of 10 at home | -22.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +750at DraftKings |
| 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 12% to break even4 of 10 at home |
| -2.8Not beating its price |
| Under 10.5 rushing yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -108at DraftKings | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 52% to break even6 of 10 at home | -7.2Not beating its price |
| Under 21.5 completionsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 14 of 17· last season82%needs 47% to break even8 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -7.8Not beating its price |
| Over 19.5 rushing yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +265at FanDuel | 6 of 17· last season35%needs 27% to break even4 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -9.9Not beating its price |
| Under 22.5 completionsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -105at BetOnline | 14 of 17· last season82%needs 51% to break even8 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -11.5Not beating its price |
| Over 279.5 pass + rush yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +121at DraftKings | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 45% to break even3 of 10 at home | -12.3Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 rushing yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 50% to break even5 of 10 at home | -13.0Not beating its price |
| Under 35.5 pass attemptsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -105at BetMGM | 14 of 17· last season82%needs 51% to break even7 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -14.9Not beating its price |
| Over 274.5 pass + rush yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +104at FanDuel | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 49% to break even3 of 10 at home | -15.4Not beating its price |
| Under 34.5 pass attemptsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 46% to break even7 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -16.1Not beating its price |
| Over 39.5 pass attemptsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +218at DraftKings | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 31% to break even2 of 10 at home | -16.4Not beating its price |
| Under 8.5 rushing yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -105at BetMGM | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 51% to break even5 of 10 at home | -16.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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