This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 62% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 62% to break even | 5%–56% | 42 points shortwon 20%, needs 62% | 70.2total points |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 62% to break even | 19%–65% | 22 points shortwon 40%, needs 62% | 63.7total points |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 62% to break even | 39%–78% | 2 points shortwon 60%, needs 62% | 52.5total points |
| This season | 3 of 838%needs 62% to break even | 16%–65% | 24 points shortwon 38%, needs 62% | 62.6total points |
| Last season | 10 of 1377%needs 62% to break even | 54%–90% | 15 points betterwon 77%, needs 62% | 41.8total points |
| Every game | 13 of 2162%needs 62% to break even | 44%–77% | evenwon 62%, needs 62% | 49.7total points |
Tonight SDSU plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against WSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 7 of 10 at home.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 51.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 51.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 24 | 105 | -53.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 49 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 80 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 60 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 57 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 39 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 38 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 73 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | 96 | -44.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 40 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 28 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 24 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 44 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 31 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 23 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 54 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 69 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 9 | +42.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 34 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 49 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 28 | 42 | +9.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 20.5 team totalSan Diego St. · Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 35% to break even2 of 10 at home | -9.3Not beating its price | ||
| Under 23.5 team totalSan Diego St. · Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 44% to break even2 of 10 at home | -14.5Not beating its price | ||
| SDSU -9.5 spreadSan Diego St. · Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 36% to break even7 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -17.2Not beating its price | |
| Under 27.5 team totalSan Diego St. · Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 60% to break even5 of 10 at home | -17.3Not beating its price | ||
| Under 25.5 team totalSan Diego St. · Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 53% to break even4 of 10 at home | -17.3Not beating its price | ||
| SDSU -7.5 spreadSan Diego St. · Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 39% to break even7 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -19.6Not beating its price | |
| SDSU -6.5 spreadSan Diego St. · Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 45% to break even7 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -24.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 27.5 team totalSan Diego St. · Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 48% to break even5 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -25.1Not beating its price | |
| SDSU -5.5 spreadSan Diego St. · Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 47% to break even7 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -26.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 25.5 team totalSan Diego St. · Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 56% to break even6 of 10 at home | -26.5Not beating its price | ||
| SDSU -4.5 spreadSan Diego St. · Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 49% to break even7 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -27.9Not beating its price | |
| SDSU -3.5 spreadSan Diego St. · Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 50% to break even7 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -28.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.