This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 56% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 56% to break even | 27%–86% | 4 points betterwon 60%, needs 56% | 27.2points |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 56% to break even | 27%–73% | 6 points shortwon 50%, needs 56% | 27.6points |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 56% to break even | 17%–54% | 22 points shortwon 33%, needs 56% | 24.7points |
| This season | 4 of 850%needs 56% to break even | 25%–75% | 6 points shortwon 50%, needs 56% | 26.5points |
| Last season | 5 of 13 |
Tonight SDSU plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against WSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 6 of 10 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
SDSU points in each game against over 25.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | SDSU points | Beat 25.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 20.5 team total |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 52.5 game total, SDSU games |
| 20%–61% |
| 17 points shortwon 38%, needs 56% |
| 26.4points |
| Every game | 9 of 2143%needs 56% to break even | 27%–60% | 13 points shortwon 43%, needs 56% | 26.4points |
| Oct 24 | 49 | +23.5 | Won |
| Oct 17 | 26 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 10 | 14 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 | 31 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | 16 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 13 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 10 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 53 | +27.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | 47 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 17 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 25 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | 17 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | 6 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 24 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 23 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 44 | +18.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 | 45 | +19.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 6 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 34 | +8.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 13 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Aug 28 | 42 | +16.5 | Won |
| +189at Kalshi |
| 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 35% to break even2 of 10 at home |
| -9.3Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 team totalSan Diego St. · Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 44% to break even2 of 10 at home | -14.5Not beating its price |
| Under 25.5 team totalSan Diego St. · Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 53% to break even4 of 10 at home | -17.3Not beating its price |
| Under 27.5 team totalSan Diego St. · Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 60% to break even5 of 10 at home | -17.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +129at Kalshi |
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 44% to break even3 of 10 at home |
| -13.1Not beating its price |
| Over 48.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego St. · Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 54% to break even4 of 10 at home | -13.5Not beating its price |
| Under 41.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego St. · Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 7 of 13· last season54%needs 37% to break even5 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -15.1Not beating its price |
| Over 51.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego St. · Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 47% to break even3 of 10 at home | -15.6Not beating its price |
| Over 47.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego St. · Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 57% to break even4 of 10 at home | -16.0Not beating its price |
| Under 44.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego St. · Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 44% to break even6 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -17.1Not beating its price |
| SDSU -9.5 spreadSan Diego St. · Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 36% to break even7 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -17.2Not beating its price |
| Over 50.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego St. · Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 51% to break even3 of 10 at home | -18.9Not beating its price |
| Over 49.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego St. · Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 51% to break even3 of 10 at home | -18.9Not beating its price |
| SDSU -7.5 spreadSan Diego St. · Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 39% to break even7 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -19.6Not beating its price |
| Over 44.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego St. · Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 64% to break even4 of 10 at home | -21.5Not beating its price |
| Under 49.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego St. · Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 57% to break even7 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -22.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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