This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 36% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 36% to break even | 0%–35% | 36 points shortwon 0%, needs 36% | lost by 15.8points |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 36% to break even | 2%–35% | 26 points shortwon 10%, needs 36% | lost by 8.5points |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 36% to break even | 17%–54% | 2 points shortwon 33%, needs 36% | lost by 3points |
| This season | 1 of 813%needs 36% to break even | 3%–41% | 23 points shortwon 13%, needs 36% | lost by 9.6points |
| Last season | 8 of 1362%needs 36% to break even | 39%–80% | 26 points betterwon 62%, needs 36% | won by 11points |
| Every game | 9 of 2143%needs 36% to break even | 27%–60% | 7 points betterwon 43%, needs 36% | won by 3.1points |
Tonight SDSU plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against WSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 7 of 10 at home.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against SDSU -9.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 9.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 24 | -7 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 3 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | -52 | -61.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 2 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | -25 | -34.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | -13 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | -18 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 33 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | -2 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | -6 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 22 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 10 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | -32 | -41.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 17 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 23 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 34 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 21 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 3 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 34 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | -23 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 28 | 42 | +32.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.