This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 57% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 57% to break even | 5%–56% | 37 points shortwon 20%, needs 57% | 70.2total points |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 57% to break even | 19%–65% | 17 points shortwon 40%, needs 57% | 63.7total points |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 57% to break even | 39%–78% | 3 points betterwon 60%, needs 57% | 52.5total points |
| This season | 3 of 838%needs 57% to break even | 16%–65% | 19 points shortwon 38%, needs 57% | 62.6total points |
| Last season | 10 of 13 |
Tonight SDSU plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against WSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 7 of 10 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 49.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 49.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 47.5 game total, SDSU games |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDSU -3.5 spread |
| 54%–90% |
| 20 points betterwon 77%, needs 57% |
| 41.8total points |
| Every game | 13 of 2162%needs 57% to break even | 44%–77% | 5 points betterwon 62%, needs 57% | 49.7total points |
| Oct 24 | 105 | -55.5 | Lost |
| Oct 17 | 49 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 10 | 80 | -30.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 | 60 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 57 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 39 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 38 | +11.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 73 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | 96 | -46.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 40 | +9.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 28 | +21.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 24 | +25.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 44 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 31 | +18.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 23 | +26.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 54 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 | 69 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 9 | +40.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 34 | +15.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 49 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 28 | 42 | +7.5 | Won |
| -131at Kalshi |
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 57% to break even4 of 10 at home |
| -16.0Not beating its price |
| Over 48.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego St. · Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 55% to break even4 of 10 at home | -14.4Not beating its price |
| Over 49.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego St. · Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 51% to break even3 of 10 at home | -18.9Not beating its price |
| Over 52.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego St. · Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 44% to break even3 of 10 at home | -13.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +101at Kalshi |
| 8 of 13· last season62%needs 50% to break even7 of 10 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -28.6Not beating its price |
| SDSU to win moneylineSan Diego St. · Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 61% to break even9 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -28.7Not beating its price |
| SDSU -2.5 spreadSan Diego St. · Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 58% to break even8 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -30.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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