This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 54% to break even | 14%–73% | 14 points shortwon 40%, needs 54% | 69.4total points |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 54% to break even | 27%–73% | 4 points shortwon 50%, needs 54% | 64.1total points |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 54% to break even | 22%–61% | 14 points shortwon 40%, needs 54% | 67.7total points |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 54% to break even | 19%–71% | 11 points shortwon 43%, needs 54% | 67.1total points |
| Last season | 6 of 1346% |
Tonight TXST plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against BOIS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 8 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 65.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 65.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 24 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 65.5 game total, TXST games |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST to win moneylineTexas St. |
| 26%–68% |
| 8 points shortwon 46%, needs 54% |
| 65.5total points |
| Every game | 9 of 2045%needs 54% to break even | 28%–63% | 9 points shortwon 45%, needs 54% | 66.1total points |
| 37 |
| +28.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 15 | 93 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 | 60 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | 73 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 84 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 57 | +8.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 66 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 2 | 51 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 75 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 45 | +20.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 55 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 81 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Oct 28 | 72 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 77 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 89 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 61 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 38 | +27.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 49 | +16.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 79 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 79 | -13.5 | Lost |
| -107at Kalshi |
| 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 52% to break even4 of 8 on the road |
| -16.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +373at Kalshi |
| 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 21% to break even2 of 8 on the road |
| 11.8Strong |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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