This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 21% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 21% to break even | 44%–95% | 59 points betterwon 80%, needs 21% | won by 21.4points |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 21% to break even | 44%–87% | 49 points betterwon 70%, needs 21% | won by 12.1points |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 21% to break even | 33%–72% | 32 points betterwon 53%, needs 21% | won by 6.9points |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 21% to break even | 29%–81% | 36 points betterwon 57%, needs 21% | won by 7.1points |
Tonight TXST plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against BOIS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 2 of 8 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against TXST to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 24 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 65.5 game total, TXST games |
| Last season |
| 7 of 1354%needs 21% to break even |
| 32%–74% |
| 33 points betterwon 54%, needs 21% |
| won by 7.5points |
| Every game | 11 of 2055%needs 21% to break even | 37%–72% | 34 points betterwon 55%, needs 21% | won by 7.4points |
| 3 |
| +3 |
| Won |
| Oct 15 | 39 | +39 | Won |
| Oct 3 | -2 | -2 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 53 | +53 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 14 | +14 | Won |
| Sep 12 | -5 | -5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | -52 | -52 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 2 | 31 | +31 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 23 | +23 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 17 | +17 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 27 | +27 | Won |
| Nov 8 | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Oct 28 | -32 | -32 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | -7 | -7 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | -1 | -1 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 32 | +32 | Won |
| Sep 13 | -19 | -19 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 25 | +25 | Won |
| -107at Kalshi |
| 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 52% to break even4 of 8 on the road |
| -16.4Not beating its price |
| Under 65.5 game total, TXST gamesTexas St. · Sat, Oct 31, 10:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 54% to break even4 of 8 on the road | -25.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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