Not listed on Polymarket.
+8.5 spread: that team can lose by up to 8 and the bet still winsO 47.5 total: wins if the two teams score 48 or more combined−110 bet $110 to win $100+150 bet $100 to win $150The badge is the book with that price (tap a price to see every book's); green pays more than the bet's chances call forBet types explained →
Outlined is the best price on each side; green pays more than the chances call for, and a small negative edge is normal. Tap a price to bet it. What the numbers mean
| Book | Moneyline | Spread | Total | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST | BOIS | TXST +11.5 | BOIS -11.5 | O 65.5 | U 65.5 | |
| Chance it wins | 21.0%fair odds +376 | 79.0%fair odds -376 | 50.5%fair odds -102 | 49.5%fair odds +102 | 49.5%fair odds +102 | 50.5%fair odds -102 |
| Edge at the best price | -9.5%Poor price | -2.6%Normal | -4.4%Normal | -4.2%Normal | -6.3%Poor price | -6.0%Poor price |
| Kalshi | +331 | -430 | -112 | -107 | -112 | -116 |
Vig at the best pricesspread 4.3% · total 6.1% · to win 4.2%Cheapest books →
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On Polymarket and Kalshi a contract pays $1 if it comes true, so its price is the crowd's chance. Charts follow the home team.
Not listed on Polymarket.
Big single bets on Polymarket and Kalshi, and how much money is on this game. What bettors did, not a reason to follow them.
"To win" chances average the sportsbooks (with their cut taken out), Polymarket and Kalshi. How it works
Bets in this game that have kept winning, more often than their price needs. A trend counts every recent game, whoever the opponent, and some are luck.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST to win moneylineTexas St. | +331at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 23% to break even2 of 8 on the road | 10.2Strong | ||
| Under 63.5 game total, BOIS gamesBoise St. | +105at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 49% to break even6 of 10 at home | 3.4Good |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOIS -11.5 spreadBoise St. | -107at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 52% to break even9 of 10 at home | -10.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 65.5 game total, TXST gamesTexas St. | -112at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 53% to break even4 of 8 on the road | -17.3Not beating its price | ||
| Under 63.5 game total, TXST gamesTexas St. | +105at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 49% to break even4 of 8 on the road | -21.2Not beating its price | ||
| Over 65.5 game total, BOIS gamesBoise St. | -112at Kalshi | 4 of 14· last season29%needs 53% to break even3 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -37.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Polymarket and Kalshi sell the spread and total at every number, not just the one most books use. Each row shows the chance that bet wins, from their prices, and the best price on each side at any book, sportsbooks' alternate lines and fees included.
Who's hurt, rest, the weather, form and how the two teams match up. Injuries can change up to game time.
No one on the injury report.
No one on the injury report.
| This season | TXST offense | BOIS defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points a game | 37.118th most | 20.6 allowed38th fewest |
| Passing yards a game | 245.748th most | 251.3 allowed22nd most |
| Rushing yards a game | 272.04th most | 99.1 allowed18th fewest |
| Turnovers a game | 1.6 lost38th most | 1.4 forced55th most |
| This season | BOIS offense | TXST defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points a game | 34.436th most | 30.0 allowed28th most |
| Passing yards a game | 206.444th fewest | 285.1 allowed2nd most |
| Rushing yards a game | 237.9 |
| 119.3 allowed39th fewest |
| Turnovers a game | 0.4 lost2nd fewest | 1.0 forced24th fewest |
|---|
Ranks out of 138 teams this season. Green: among the league's best third at it. Red: among its worst third.
| This season | TXST | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Yards a game | 517.75th most | 444.329th most |
| Yards allowed a game | 404.426th most | 350.462nd fewest |
| Third downs converted | 54%7th highest | 52%13th highest |
| Plays a game | 76.35th most | 69.438th most |
| Passes as a share of plays | 38%17th lowest | 39%21st lowest |
| Turnover margin this season | -427th lowest | +713th highest |
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