This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 50% to break even | 65%–100% | 50 points betterwon 100%, needs 50% | 14.6points |
| Last 10 games | 10 of 10100%needs 50% to break even | 79%–100% | 50 points betterwon 100%, needs 50% | 17.7points |
| Last 15 games | 14 of 1593%needs 50% to break even | 75%–98% | 44 points betterwon 93%, needs 50% | 21.6points |
| This season | 7 of 7100%needs 50% to break even | 72%–100% | 50 points betterwon 100%, needs 50% | 14.9points |
| Last season |
Tonight USU plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against CSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 6 of 9 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
USU points in each game against under 34.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | USU points | Beat 34.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 24 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 34.5 team total |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 56.5 game total, USU games |
| 9 of 1369%needs 50% to break even |
| 46%–85% |
| 19 points betterwon 69%, needs 50% |
| 30.9points |
| Every game | 16 of 2080%needs 50% to break even | 62%–91% | 30 points betterwon 80%, needs 50% | 25.3points |
| 17 |
| +17.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 9 | 17 | +17.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 | 18 | +16.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | 21 | +13.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 0 | +34.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 14 | +20.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 17 | +17.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 22 | 21 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 24 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 28 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 26 | +8.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 51 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 14 | +20.5 | Won |
| Oct 17 | 30 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 26 | +8.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 35 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 48 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | AFA | 49 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 22 | +12.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 28 | +6.5 | Won |
| -131at Kalshi |
| 4 of 13· last season31%needs 57% to break even3 of 9 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -42.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +173at Kalshi |
| 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 37% to break even7 of 9 at home |
| Won last 11 in a row |
| 21.1Very strong |
| Under 59.5 game total, USU gamesUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 45% to break even7 of 9 at home | Won last 11 in a row | 14.7Strong |
| Under 62.5 game total, USU gamesUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 52% to break even7 of 9 at home | Won last 11 in a row | 9.1Strong |
| Under 63.5 game total, USU gamesUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 55% to break even7 of 9 at home | Won last 11 in a row | 6.6Good |
| Under 65.5 game total, USU gamesUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 60% to break even8 of 9 at home | Won last 14 in a row | 5.5Good |
| Under 64.5 game total, USU gamesUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 57% to break even7 of 9 at home | Won last 11 in a row | 5.1Good |
| USU -9.5 spreadUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 46% to break even5 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -29.0Not beating its price |
| USU -7.5 spreadUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 47% to break even5 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -29.9Not beating its price |
| Over 64.5 game total, USU gamesUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 50% to break even2 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -35.0Not beating its price |
| USU -6.5 spreadUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 54% to break even5 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -35.4Not beating its price |
| Over 63.5 game total, USU gamesUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 51% to break even2 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -35.8Not beating its price |
| Over 65.5 game total, USU gamesUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 4 of 13· last season31%needs 49% to break even1 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -35.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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