This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 54% to break even | 5%–56% | 34 points shortwon 20%, needs 54% | lost by 8.6points |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 54% to break even | 7%–46% | 34 points shortwon 20%, needs 54% | lost by 6points |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 54% to break even | 8%–41% | 34 points shortwon 20%, needs 54% | lost by 3.9points |
| This season | 1 of 714%needs 54% to break even | 3%–45% | 39 points shortwon 14%, needs 54% | lost by 8.1points |
| Last season | 5 of 1338% |
Tonight USU plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against CSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 5 of 9 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against USU -6.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 6.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 30.5 team total |
| 20%–61% |
| 15 points shortwon 38%, needs 54% |
| won by 2.2points |
| Every game | 6 of 2030%needs 54% to break even | 16%–48% | 24 points shortwon 30%, needs 54% | lost by 1.4points |
| Oct 24 |
| -3 |
| -9.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 9 | 1 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 | -19 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 11 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | -33 | -39.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | -2 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | -12 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 22 | -13 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | -1 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 11 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | -3 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | 37 | +30.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | -19 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Oct 17 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | -18 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | -20 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 41 | +34.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | AFA | 19 | +12.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | -22 | -28.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 12 | +5.5 | Won |
| +189at Kalshi |
| 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 35% to break even6 of 9 at home |
| Won last 11 in a row |
| 25.5Very strong |
| Under 56.5 game total, USU gamesUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 36% to break even7 of 9 at home | Won last 11 in a row | 22.0Very strong |
| Under 59.5 game total, USU gamesUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 44% to break even7 of 9 at home | Won last 11 in a row | 15.5Very strong |
| Under 34.5 team totalUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 50% to break even6 of 9 at home | Won last 11 in a row | 13.4Strong |
| Under 62.5 game total, USU gamesUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 50% to break even7 of 9 at home | Won last 11 in a row | 10.6Strong |
| Under 63.5 game total, USU gamesUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 53% to break even7 of 9 at home | Won last 11 in a row | 8.2Strong |
| Under 65.5 game total, USU gamesUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 58% to break even8 of 9 at home | Won last 14 in a row | 7.0Good |
| Under 64.5 game total, USU gamesUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 55% to break even7 of 9 at home | Won last 11 in a row | 6.6Good |
| Under 68.5 game total, USU gamesUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 64% to break even8 of 9 at home | Won last 14 in a row | 3.8Good |
| Over 71.5 game total, USU gamesUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 2 of 13· last season15%needs 37% to break even1 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -28.3Not beating its price |
| Over 68.5 game total, USU gamesUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 3 of 13· last season23%needs 44% to break even1 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -32.8Not beating its price |
| Over 64.5 game total, USU gamesUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 51% to break even2 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -35.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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