This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 53% to break even | 65%–100% | 47 points betterwon 100%, needs 53% | 37.8total points |
| Last 10 games | 10 of 10100%needs 53% to break even | 79%–100% | 47 points betterwon 100%, needs 53% | 41.4total points |
| Last 15 games | 13 of 1587%needs 53% to break even | 67%–95% | 34 points betterwon 87%, needs 53% | 47.1total points |
| This season | 7 of 7100%needs 53% to break even | 72%–100% | 47 points betterwon 100%, needs 53% | 37.9total points |
| Last season |
Tonight USU plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against CSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 7 of 9 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 63.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 63.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 24 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 59.5 game total, USU games |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 30.5 team total |
| 8 of 1362%needs 53% to break even |
| 39%–80% |
| 9 points betterwon 62%, needs 53% |
| 59.6total points |
| Every game | 15 of 2075%needs 53% to break even | 57%–87% | 22 points betterwon 75%, needs 53% | 52total points |
| 37 |
| +26.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 9 | 33 | +30.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 | 55 | +8.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | 31 | +32.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 33 | +30.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 30 | +33.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 46 | +17.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 22 | 55 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 49 | +14.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 45 | +18.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 55 | +8.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 65 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 47 | +16.5 | Won |
| Oct 17 | 55 | +8.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 70 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 90 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 55 | +8.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | AFA | 79 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 66 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 44 | +19.5 | Won |
| -183at Kalshi |
| 5 of 13· last season38%needs 65% to break even2 of 9 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -47.0Not beating its price |
| Over 62.5 game total, USU gamesUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 58% to break even2 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -41.5Not beating its price |
| Over 63.5 game total, USU gamesUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 56% to break even2 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -39.8Not beating its price |
| Over 64.5 game total, USU gamesUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 50% to break even2 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -35.0Not beating its price |
| Over 65.5 game total, USU gamesUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 4 of 13· last season31%needs 50% to break even1 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -36.6Not beating its price |
| Over 68.5 game total, USU gamesUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 3 of 13· last season23%needs 44% to break even1 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -32.8Not beating its price |
| Over 71.5 game total, USU gamesUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 2 of 13· last season15%needs 37% to break even1 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -28.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +189at Kalshi |
| 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 35% to break even6 of 9 at home |
| Won last 11 in a row |
| 25.5Very strong |
| Under 34.5 team totalUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 50% to break even6 of 9 at home | Won last 11 in a row | 13.4Strong |
| USU -9.5 spreadUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 46% to break even5 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -29.0Not beating its price |
| USU -7.5 spreadUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 47% to break even5 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -29.9Not beating its price |
| USU -6.5 spreadUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 54% to break even5 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -35.4Not beating its price |
| USU -4.5 spreadUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 6 of 13· last season46%needs 59% to break even6 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -37.5Not beating its price |
| USU -5.5 spreadUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 57% to break even5 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -37.8Not beating its price |
| Over 34.5 team totalUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 4 of 13· last season31%needs 57% to break even3 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -42.2Not beating its price |
| USU to win moneylineUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -228at Kalshi | 6 of 13· last season46%needs 70% to break even7 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -42.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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