This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 58% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 58% to break even | 65%–100% | 42 points betterwon 100%, needs 58% | 37.8total points |
| Last 10 games | 10 of 10100%needs 58% to break even | 79%–100% | 42 points betterwon 100%, needs 58% | 41.4total points |
| Last 15 games | 14 of 1593%needs 58% to break even | 75%–98% | 36 points betterwon 93%, needs 58% | 47.1total points |
| This season | 7 of 7100%needs 58% to break even | 72%–100% | 42 points betterwon 100%, needs 58% | 37.9total points |
| Last season | 9 of 1369%needs 58% to break even | 46%–85% | 11 points betterwon 69%, needs 58% | 59.6total points |
| Every game | 16 of 2080%needs 58% to break even | 62%–91% | 22 points betterwon 80%, needs 58% | 52total points |
Tonight USU plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against CSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 8 of 9 at home.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 65.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 65.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 24 | 37 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Oct 9 | 33 | +32.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 55 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 31 | +34.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 33 | +32.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 30 | +35.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 46 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 22 | 55 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 49 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 45 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 55 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 65 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 47 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | 55 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 70 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 90 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 55 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | AFA | 79 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 66 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 44 | +21.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 59.5 game total, USU gamesUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 65% to break even2 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -47.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 62.5 game total, USU gamesUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 58% to break even2 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -41.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 63.5 game total, USU gamesUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 56% to break even2 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -39.8Not beating its price | |
| Over 64.5 game total, USU gamesUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 50% to break even2 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -35.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 65.5 game total, USU gamesUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 4 of 13· last season31%needs 50% to break even1 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -36.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 68.5 game total, USU gamesUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 3 of 13· last season23%needs 44% to break even1 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -32.8Not beating its price | |
| Over 71.5 game total, USU gamesUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 2 of 13· last season15%needs 37% to break even1 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -28.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 30.5 team totalUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 35% to break even6 of 9 at home | Won last 11 in a row | 25.5Very strong | |
| Under 34.5 team totalUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 50% to break even6 of 9 at home | Won last 11 in a row | 13.4Strong | |
| USU -9.5 spreadUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 46% to break even5 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -29.0Not beating its price | |
| USU -7.5 spreadUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 47% to break even5 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -29.9Not beating its price | |
| USU -6.5 spreadUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 54% to break even5 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -35.4Not beating its price | |
| USU -4.5 spreadUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 6 of 13· last season46%needs 59% to break even6 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -37.5Not beating its price | |
| USU -5.5 spreadUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 57% to break even5 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -37.8Not beating its price | |
| Over 34.5 team totalUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 4 of 13· last season31%needs 57% to break even3 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -42.2Not beating its price | |
| USU to win moneylineUtah St. · Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET | -228at Kalshi | 6 of 13· last season46%needs 70% to break even7 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -42.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.