This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 43% to break even | 65%–100% | 57 points betterwon 100%, needs 43% |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 43% to break even | 65%–98% | 47 points betterwon 90%, needs 43% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 43% to break even | 59%–92% | 37 points betterwon 80%, needs 43% |
| This season | 7 of 7100%needs 43% to break even | 72%–100% | 57 points betterwon 100%, needs 43% |
| Last season | 8 of 1362%needs 43% to break even | 39%–80% | 19 points betterwon 62%, needs 43% |
| Every game | 15 of 2075%needs 43% to break even | 57%–87% | 32 points betterwon 75%, needs 43% |
Tonight UL plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against TROY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
UL points in each game against over 20.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | UL points | Beat 20.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 33 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 31 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 23 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 34 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 21 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 30 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 38 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 17 | 13 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 30 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 34 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 42 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 31 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 23 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 10 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 14 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 54 | +33.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 31 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 10 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 34 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 12 | -8.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 13.5 team totalLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 4 of 13· last season31%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.8Not beating its price | |
| Under 16.5 team totalLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 19.5 team totalLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -40.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 20.5 team totalLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -44.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.