This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 56% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 56% to break even | 65%–100% | 44 points betterwon 100%, needs 56% |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 56% to break even | 65%–98% | 34 points betterwon 90%, needs 56% |
| Last 15 games | 14 of 1593%needs 56% to break even | 75%–98% | 38 points betterwon 93%, needs 56% |
| This season | 6 of 786%needs 56% to break even | 55%–97% | 30 points betterwon 86%, needs 56% |
| Last season | 12 of 1392%needs 56% to break even | 72%–98% | 37 points betterwon 92%, needs 56% |
| Every game | 18 of 2090%needs 56% to break even | 74%–97% | 34 points betterwon 90%, needs 56% |
Tonight UL plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against TROY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H margin in each game against ul 1h +8.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H margin | Beat -8.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 19 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UL to win moneylineLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET |
| -3 |
| +5.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 3 | -3 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | 3 | +11.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 14 | +22.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | -18 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 28 | +36.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 17 | -7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 4 | +12.5 | Won |
| Nov 20 | -3 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 18 | +26.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 17 | +25.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | -4 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | -6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 7 | +15.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 0 | +8.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | -4 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | -28 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 10 | +18.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | -8 | +0.5 | Won |
| 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 17% to break even |
| 16.8Very strong |
| UL +7.5 spreadLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 38% to break even | 14.5Strong |
| Over 20.5 team totalLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 43% to break even | Record is this season's | 12.9Strong |
| UL +13.5 spreadLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 52% to break even | 12.0Strong |
| UL +9.5 spreadLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 43% to break even | 10.4Strong |
| UL +10.5 spreadLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 47% to break even | 9.9Strong |
| Over 19.5 team totalLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 47% to break even | Record is this season's | 9.7Strong |
| UL +11.5 spreadLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 48% to break even | 9.0Strong |
| UL +14.5 spreadLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 57% to break even | 8.0Good |
| UL +16.5 spreadLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 60% to break even | 5.6Good |
| UL +17.5 spreadLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 63% to break even | 3.2Good |
| Over 16.5 team totalLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 57% to break even | Record is this season's | 1.7Slight |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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