This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 48% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 48% to break even | 0%–35% | 48 points shortwon 0%, needs 48% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 48% to break even | 2%–35% | 38 points shortwon 10%, needs 48% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 48% to break even | 8%–41% | 28 points shortwon 20%, needs 48% |
| This season | 0 of 70%needs 48% to break even | 0%–28% | 48 points shortwon 0%, needs 48% |
| Last season | 5 of 1338%needs 48% to break even | 20%–61% | 9 points shortwon 38%, needs 48% |
| Every game | 5 of 2025%needs 48% to break even | 13%–43% | 23 points shortwon 25%, needs 48% |
Tonight UL plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against TROY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
UL points in each game against under 16.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | UL points | Beat 16.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 33 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 31 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 23 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 34 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 21 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 30 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 38 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 17 | 13 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 30 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 34 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 42 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 31 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 23 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 10 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 14 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 54 | -37.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 31 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 10 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 34 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 12 | +4.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 16.5 team totalLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 57% to break even | Record is this season's | 1.7Slight | |
| Over 19.5 team totalLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 47% to break even | Record is this season's | 9.7Strong | |
| Over 20.5 team totalLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 43% to break even | Record is this season's | 12.9Strong |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.