This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 63% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 63% to break even | 0%–35% | 63 points shortwon 0%, needs 63% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 63% to break even | 2%–35% | 53 points shortwon 10%, needs 63% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 63% to break even | 8%–41% | 43 points shortwon 20%, needs 63% |
| This season | 0 of 70%needs 63% to break even | 0%–28% | 63 points shortwon 0%, needs 63% |
| Last season | 5 of 1338%needs 63% to break even | 20%–61% | 24 points shortwon 38%, needs 63% |
| Every game | 5 of 2025%needs 63% to break even | 13%–43% | 38 points shortwon 25%, needs 63% |
Tonight UL plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against TROY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
UL points in each game against under 20.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | UL points | Beat 20.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 33 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 16.5 team totalLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UL to win moneylineLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET |
| 31 |
| -10.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 3 | 23 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 34 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 21 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 30 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 38 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 17 | 13 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 30 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Nov 20 | 34 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | 42 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 31 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 23 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 10 | +10.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 14 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 54 | -33.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 31 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 10 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 34 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 12 | +8.5 | Won |
| 7 of 7· this season100%needs 57% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| 1.7Slight |
| Over 19.5 team totalLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 47% to break even | Record is this season's | 9.7Strong |
| Over 20.5 team totalLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 43% to break even | Record is this season's | 12.9Strong |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 17% to break even |
| 16.8Very strong |
| UL +7.5 spreadLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 38% to break even | 14.5Strong |
| UL +13.5 spreadLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 52% to break even | 12.0Strong |
| UL +9.5 spreadLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 43% to break even | 10.4Strong |
| UL +6.5 1st half spreadLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 46% to break even | 10.2Strong |
| UL +10.5 spreadLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 47% to break even | 9.9Strong |
| UL +3.5 1st half spreadLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 39% to break even | 9.1Strong |
| UL +4.5 1st half spreadLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 44% to break even | 9.0Strong |
| UL +11.5 spreadLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 48% to break even | 9.0Strong |
| UL +8.5 1st half spreadLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 56% to break even | 8.7Strong |
| UL +7.5 1st half spreadLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 54% to break even | 8.5Strong |
| UL +14.5 spreadLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 57% to break even | 8.0Good |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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