This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 59% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 59% to break even | 44%–95% | 21 points betterwon 80%, needs 59% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 59% to break even | 35%–81% | 1 points betterwon 60%, needs 59% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 59% to break even | 33%–72% | 6 points shortwon 53%, needs 59% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 59% to break even | 35%–88% | 7 points betterwon 67%, needs 59% |
| Last season | 6 of 1250%needs 59% to break even | 29%–71% | 9 points shortwon 50%, needs 59% |
| Every game | 10 of 1856%needs 59% to break even | 37%–73% | 4 points shortwon 56%, needs 59% |
Tonight KSU plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ASU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 57.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 51.5 game total, KSU gamesKansas State Wildcats · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KSU -6.5 spreadKansas State Wildcats · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET |
| +6.5 |
| Won |
| Sep 26 | 57 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 51 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 41 | +16.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 74 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | 38 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 98 | -40.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | 20 | +37.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 63 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 59 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 69 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 69 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 54 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 40 | +17.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 45 | +12.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 73 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Aug 23 | 45 | +12.5 | Won |
| 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 61% to break even |
| -25.5Not beating its price |
| Over 53.5 game total, KSU gamesKansas State Wildcats · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | -134at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 57% to break even | -22.4Not beating its price |
| Over 55.5 game total, KSU gamesKansas State Wildcats · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 49% to break even | -18.4Not beating its price |
| Over 57.5 game total, KSU gamesKansas State Wildcats · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 6 of 12· last season50%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.3Not beating its price |
| Over 59.5 game total, KSU gamesKansas State Wildcats · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | +149at Polymarket | 5 of 12· last season42%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.8Not beating its price |
| Over 63.5 game total, KSU gamesKansas State Wildcats · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | +193at Polymarket | 4 of 12· last season33%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 39% to break even |
| -6.1Not beating its price |
| KSU -5.5 spreadKansas State Wildcats · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | +143at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 41% to break even | -7.6Not beating its price |
| KSU +0.5 1st half spreadKansas State Wildcats · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 63% to break even | -8.4Not beating its price |
| KSU -4.5 spreadKansas State Wildcats · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 42% to break even | -8.4Not beating its price |
| KSU +1.5 1st half spreadKansas State Wildcats · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | -172at Polymarket | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 63% to break even | -8.8Not beating its price |
| KSU -3.5 spreadKansas State Wildcats · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 44% to break even | -10.0Not beating its price |
| KSU -0.5 1st half spreadKansas State Wildcats · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 55% to break even | Record is this season's | -10.6Not beating its price |
| KSU -3.5 1st half spreadKansas State Wildcats · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 44% to break even | Record is this season's | -12.3Not beating its price |
| KSU -2.5 spreadKansas State Wildcats · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | NV-106at Novig | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 51% to break even | -14.4Not beating its price |
| KSU -1.5 spreadKansas State Wildcats · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 55% to break even | -17.3Not beating its price |
| KSU -0.5 1st quarter spreadKansas State Wildcats · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 6 of 12· last season50%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.6Not beating its price |
| KSU -2.5 1st half spreadKansas State Wildcats · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | -105at Polymarket | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 51% to break even | Record is this season's | -17.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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