This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 39% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 39% to break even | 27%–86% | 21 points betterwon 60%, needs 39% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 39% to break even | 35%–81% | 21 points betterwon 60%, needs 39% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 39% to break even | 39%–78% | 21 points betterwon 60%, needs 39% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 39% to break even | 35%–88% | 27 points betterwon 67%, needs 39% |
| Last season | 5 of 1242%needs 39% to break even | 22%–64% | 2 points betterwon 42%, needs 39% |
| Every game | 9 of 1850%needs 39% to break even | 32%–68% | 11 points betterwon 50%, needs 39% |
Tonight KSU plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ASU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against ksu -6.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 6.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 11 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | -19 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | -5 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 11 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 27 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 68 | +61.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | 10 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | -4 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 8 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | -23 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 25 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 13 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | -1 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 14 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | -6 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | -3 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | -3 | -9.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.