This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 42% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 42% to break even | 0%–35% | 42 points shortwon 0%, needs 42% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 42% to break even | 13%–56% | 12 points shortwon 30%, needs 42% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 42% to break even | 17%–54% | 9 points shortwon 33%, needs 42% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 42% to break even | 4%–50% | 26 points shortwon 17%, needs 42% |
| Last season | 5 of 1242%needs 42% to break even | 22%–64% | 1 points shortwon 42%, needs 42% |
| Every game | 6 of 1833%needs 42% to break even | 18%–53% | 9 points shortwon 33%, needs 42% |
Tonight KSU plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ASU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 59.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 51.5 game total, KSU gamesKansas State Wildcats · Sat, Oct 24, 3:45 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KSU +0.5 1st half spreadKansas State Wildcats · Sat, Oct 24, 3:45 PM ET |
| -8.5 |
| Lost |
| Sep 26 | 57 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 51 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 41 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 74 | +14.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | 38 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 98 | +38.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 20 | -39.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 63 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 59 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 69 | +9.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 69 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 54 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 40 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 45 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 73 | +13.5 | Won |
| Aug 23 | 45 | -14.5 | Lost |
| 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 45% to break even |
| -16.7Not beating its price |
| Under 53.5 game total, KSU gamesKansas State Wildcats · Sat, Oct 24, 3:45 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 45% to break even | -16.7Not beating its price |
| Under 55.5 game total, KSU gamesKansas State Wildcats · Sat, Oct 24, 3:45 PM ET | NV-102at Novig | 6 of 12· last season50%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.7Not beating its price |
| Under 57.5 game total, KSU gamesKansas State Wildcats · Sat, Oct 24, 3:45 PM ET | -139at Polymarket | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 58% to break even | -18.7Not beating its price |
| Under 59.5 game total, KSU gamesKansas State Wildcats · Sat, Oct 24, 3:45 PM ET | -187at Polymarket | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 65% to break even | -14.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 63% to break even |
| -8.4Not beating its price |
| KSU -4.5 spreadKansas State Wildcats · Sat, Oct 24, 3:45 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 42% to break even | -8.4Not beating its price |
| KSU +1.5 1st half spreadKansas State Wildcats · Sat, Oct 24, 3:45 PM ET | -172at Polymarket | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 63% to break even | -8.8Not beating its price |
| KSU -3.5 spreadKansas State Wildcats · Sat, Oct 24, 3:45 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 44% to break even | -10.0Not beating its price |
| KSU -0.5 1st half spreadKansas State Wildcats · Sat, Oct 24, 3:45 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 55% to break even | Record is this season's | -10.6Not beating its price |
| KSU -3.5 1st half spreadKansas State Wildcats · Sat, Oct 24, 3:45 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 44% to break even | Record is this season's | -12.3Not beating its price |
| KSU -2.5 spreadKansas State Wildcats · Sat, Oct 24, 3:45 PM ET | NV-106at Novig | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 51% to break even | -14.4Not beating its price |
| KSU -1.5 spreadKansas State Wildcats · Sat, Oct 24, 3:45 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 55% to break even | -17.3Not beating its price |
| KSU -0.5 1st quarter spreadKansas State Wildcats · Sat, Oct 24, 3:45 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 6 of 12· last season50%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.6Not beating its price |
| KSU -2.5 1st half spreadKansas State Wildcats · Sat, Oct 24, 3:45 PM ET | -105at Polymarket | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 51% to break even | Record is this season's | -17.7Not beating its price |
| KSU to win moneylineKansas State Wildcats · Sat, Oct 24, 3:45 PM ET | NV-127at Novig | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 56% to break even | -17.9Not beating its price |
| KSU +1.5 spreadKansas State Wildcats · Sat, Oct 24, 3:45 PM ET | -151at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 60% to break even | -18.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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